Derry City vs Dundalk prediction & stats
Derry City stats & fixtures · Dundalk stats & fixtures
Derry City take on Dundalk in the Premier Division on 23 October 2026. The Ghost makes Derry City favourites at 53%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Derry City vs Dundalk prediction
- 53%Derry City fair odds 1.87
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.91
- 21%Dundalk fair odds 4.76
Most likely score 1-1 (12.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.19 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.38 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.00 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.25 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Derry City 5.3 · Dundalk 5.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 5.1
Derry City 2.7 · Dundalk 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 6.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 7.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 9.3
Derry City 5.4 · Dundalk 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (174 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.2%
- 2–1 10.2%
- 2–0 9.4%
- 1–0 9.3%
- 0–0 7.1%
- 3–1 5.9%
- 1–2 5.7%
- 3–0 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Derry City
- 17 N. Twisk Midfielder
- 19 B. Fleming Midfielder
- 4 J. Stott Defender
- 3 Patrick McClean Defender
- 7 M. Duffy Attacker
- 13 Tom Norcott Goalkeeper
- 23 C. Dummigan Defender
- 14 E. Chapman Attacker
- 29 T. Smith Attacker
- 8 A. O'Reilly Midfielder
- 12 D. Burns Midfielder
Dundalk
No lineup published yet.
Form guide
Derry City at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Dundalk away
3–5–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.7 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Derry City vs Dundalk head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Dundalk v Derry City | 2–1 | |
| Dundalk v Derry City | 2–2 | |
| Derry City v Dundalk | 2–2 | |
| Dundalk v Derry City | 0–2 | |
| Derry City v Dundalk | 1–1 | |
| Dundalk v Derry City | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.87 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 47% | 2.15 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.15 |
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.88 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.32 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.50 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.84 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.76 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.94 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.84 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 11.84 |