Bohemians vs Waterford match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Bohemians beat Waterford 2–1 in the Premier Division on 16 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.56–1.28. Bohemians had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bohemians 60%, the draw 22% and Waterford 17%.
Bohemians vs Waterford match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 0.56 Expected goals (xG) 1.28
- 10 Total shots 9
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 2 Shots off target 3
- 2 Blocked shots 2
- 7 Shots inside the box 6
- 3 Corners 4
- 11 Fouls 14
- 2 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 546 Passes 313
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 12' Goal S. Todd (assist J. Flores) Bohemians
- 38' Goal P. Amond (assist Benny Couto) Waterford
- 48' Yellow card C. Byrne Bohemians
- 49' Penalty missed T. Lonergan Waterford
- 64' Goal R. Burke (assist S. Diallo) Bohemians
- 75' Yellow card N. Morahan Bohemians
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 60%Bohemians fair odds 1.66
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.45
- 17%Waterford fair odds 5.76
Most likely score 2-1 (10.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 4.88 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.89 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.41 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
Bohemians 6.5 · Waterford 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Bohemians 1.9 · Waterford 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
Bohemians 6.8 · Waterford 2.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (174 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.5%
- 1–1 10.5%
- 2–0 9.5%
- 1–0 8.2%
- 3–1 7.0%
- 3–0 6.3%
- 0–0 5.4%
- 2–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Bohemians
Bench C. Whelan , P. Hickey , K. Chorążka , Josh Adam , P. Madden , N. Morahan , Zane Myers , D. Rooney , M. Strods
Waterford
Bench J. Ashton , A. Brennan , T. Coyle , Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty , J. Faria , E. McLaughlin , D. McMenamy , G. Amedu , J. Voilås
Form guide
Bohemians at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.5 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Waterford away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bohemians vs Waterford head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bohemians v Waterford | 0–2 | |
| Waterford v Bohemians | 3–1 | |
| Bohemians v Waterford | 1–1 | |
| Waterford v Bohemians | 0–1 | |
| Waterford v Bohemians | 1–4 | |
| Bohemians v Waterford | 2–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.90 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 37% | 2.72 |
| Away clean sheet | 12% | 8.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 40% | 2.51 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.51 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.96 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.49 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.81 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.51 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.76 |