Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction & stats
Derry City stats & fixtures · St Patrick's Athl. stats & fixtures
Derry City take on St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division on 19 October 2026. The Ghost makes Derry City favourites at 34%, with the draw at 32%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 48%.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction
- 34%Derry City fair odds 2.92
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.17
- 34%St Patrick's Athl. fair odds 2.92
Most likely score 1-1 (14.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.96 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 11.84 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.61 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 48% | 2.06 |
| Both teams to score: No | 52% | 1.94 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Derry City 5.5 · St Patrick's Athl. 4.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.8
Derry City 2.9 · St Patrick's Athl. 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Derry City 4.4 · St Patrick's Athl. 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (174 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.9%
- 0–0 11.6%
- 1–0 9.8%
- 0–1 9.8%
- 2–1 7.7%
- 1–2 7.7%
- 2–0 6.6%
- 0–2 6.6%
Team news & lineups
Derry City
- 17 N. Twisk Midfielder
- 19 B. Fleming Midfielder
- 4 J. Stott Defender
- 3 Patrick McClean Defender
- 7 M. Duffy Attacker
- 13 Tom Norcott Goalkeeper
- 23 C. Dummigan Defender
- 14 E. Chapman Attacker
- 29 T. Smith Attacker
- 8 A. O'Reilly Midfielder
- 12 D. Burns Midfielder
St Patrick's Athl.
- 94 J. Anang Goalkeeper
- 4 J. Redmond Defender
- 6 J. Lennon Midfielder
- 9 A. Keena Attacker
- 24 L. Turner Defender
- 2 S. Hoare Defender
- 7 Z. Elbouzedi Midfielder
- 19 B. Baggley Midfielder
- 21 A. Olusanya Attacker
- 3 A. Breslin Midfielder
- 48 R. Sheridan Midfielder
Form guide
Derry City at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
St Patrick's Athl. away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| St Patrick's Athl. v Derry City | 1–1 | |
| Derry City v St Patrick's Athl. | 0–0 | |
| St Patrick's Athl. v Derry City | 0–0 | |
| Derry City v St Patrick's Athl. | 2–2 | |
| St Patrick's Athl. v Derry City | 0–1 | |
| Derry City v St Patrick's Athl. | 1–0 |
The full Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.92 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.73 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.12 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.04 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.92 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.12 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.73 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.04 |
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.17 |
| Away clean sheet | 32% | 3.17 |