Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah match stats & report

3–0 Full time

Pro League · Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 8 · Al-Awwal Park, Riyadh · Ref Mohammed Sami Al-Ismail

Al-Nassr stats & fixtures · Al Diriyah stats & fixtures

Al-Nassr beat Al Diriyah 3–0 in the Pro League on 9 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.50–0.66. Al-Nassr had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Al-Nassr 64%, the draw 23% and Al Diriyah 13%.

Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah match statistics

Al-NassrAl Diriyah

Goals and cards

  1. 23' Goal Cristiano Ronaldo Al-Nassr
  2. 28' Yellow card C. Mbemba Al Diriyah
  3. 35' Goal Samú Costa (assist João Félix) Al-Nassr
  4. 45+2' Yellow card Abdulaziz Al Faraj Al Diriyah
  5. 77' Goal K. Coman (assist S. Mané) Al-Nassr

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 2-0 (12.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%6.61
Under 0.5 goals7%14.15
Under 1.5 goals22%4.57
Under 2.5 goals47%2.13
Under 3.5 goals69%1.44
Under 4.5 goals85%1.18
Both teams to score: Yes50%2.01
Both teams to score: No50%1.99

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.5

Al-Nassr 6.2 · Al Diriyah 3.4

Total cornersOverUnder
7.571%29%
8.560%40%
9.548%52%
10.536%64%
11.526%74%

Expected cards: 4.0

Al-Nassr 2.0 · Al Diriyah 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
1.590%10%
2.575%25%
3.555%45%
4.536%64%
5.521%79%

Expected shots on target: 8.7

Al-Nassr 6.5 · Al Diriyah 2.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.575%25%
7.563%37%
8.550%50%
9.538%62%
10.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (332 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–0 12.2%
  2. 1–0 11.3%
  3. 1–1 10.8%
  4. 2–1 10.5%
  5. 3–0 7.7%
  6. 0–0 7.1%
  7. 3–1 6.6%
  8. 2–2 3.9%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Al-Nassr at home

8–1–1 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
7.3 per game
Shots on target
6.6 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Al Diriyah away

4–0–1 in 5 matches

Scored
2.0 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 5
Corners
4.8 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away clean sheet 13% 7.52
Home clean sheet 44% 2.27
Away +1.5 handicap 61% 1.65
Away +0.5 handicap 36% 2.82
Draw/Away double chance 36% 2.82
Home/Draw double chance 87% 1.15
Home +0.5 handicap 87% 1.15
Home +1.5 handicap 96% 1.05
Home Over 0.5 team goals 87% 1.15
Home -0.5 handicap 64% 1.55
Home/Away double chance 77% 1.29
Away Over 0.5 team goals 56% 1.78
Home -1.5 handicap 39% 2.53
Home Over 1.5 team goals 59% 1.68
Away -0.5 handicap 13% 7.74
Away Over 1.5 team goals 20% 5.07
Home Over 2.5 team goals 32% 3.17
Away Over 2.5 team goals 5% 19.84
Away -1.5 handicap 4% 22.72