Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar match stats & report
1–3 Full time
Mbeya City stats & fixtures · Kagera Sugar stats & fixtures
Mbeya City lost to Kagera Sugar 1–3 in the Ligi kuu Bara on 9 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mbeya City 51%, the draw 32% and Kagera Sugar 17%.
Goals and cards
- 45+3' Goal Kagera Sugar
- 45+8' Goal Mbeya City
- 61' Goal M. Said Kagera Sugar
- 76' Goal Kagera Sugar
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 51%Mbeya City fair odds 1.95
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.17
- 17%Kagera Sugar fair odds 5.79
Most likely score 1-0 (16.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.74 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6% | 18.05 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.85 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 39% | 2.58 |
| Both teams to score: No | 61% | 1.63 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 16.4%
- 0–0 14.6%
- 1–1 13.8%
- 2–0 11.8%
- 2–1 8.5%
- 0–1 7.2%
- 3–0 5.1%
- 1–2 4.1%
Form guide
Mbeya City at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Kagera Sugar away
1–0–2 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 3.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 3
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 4.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.95 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.05 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.58 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.06 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.05 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 15% | 6.55 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 18.76 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.79 |
| Home clean sheet | 50% | 2.00 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.88 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 29.75 |