UPDF vs BUL prediction & stats

Premier League · Uganda · Regular Season - 5 · Nakivubo Stadium, Kampala

UPDF stats & fixtures · BUL stats & fixtures

UPDF take on BUL in the Premier League on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes BUL favourites at 35%, with the draw at 34%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 15.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 42%.

UPDF vs BUL prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (15.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals85%1.18
Over 1.5 goals61%1.63
Over 2.5 goals32%3.08
Over 3.5 goals14%6.96
Over 4.5 goals5%18.85
Under 0.5 goals15%6.54
Under 1.5 goals39%2.58
Under 2.5 goals68%1.48
Under 3.5 goals86%1.17
Under 4.5 goals95%1.06
Both teams to score: Yes42%2.39
Both teams to score: No58%1.72

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 15.3%
  2. 0–0 15.3%
  3. 0–1 12.3%
  4. 1–0 11.1%
  5. 0–2 7.4%
  6. 1–2 7.1%
  7. 2–1 6.4%
  8. 2–0 6.2%

Team news & lineups

UPDF

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

BUL

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

Form guide

UPDF at home

2–5–3 in 10 matches

Scored
0.7 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

BUL away

4–3–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
0.9 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.

UPDF vs BUL head-to-head

DateMatchScore
BUL v UPDF 2–5
UPDF v BUL 0–1
UPDF v BUL 2–3
BUL v UPDF 0–2

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full UPDF vs BUL head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 88% 1.13
Home +1.5 handicap 86% 1.17
Draw/Away double chance 70% 1.44
Away +0.5 handicap 70% 1.44
Home/Away double chance 66% 1.52
Away Over 0.5 team goals 65% 1.54
Home/Draw double chance 65% 1.54
Home +0.5 handicap 65% 1.54
Home Over 0.5 team goals 62% 1.62
Away clean sheet 38% 2.61
Away -0.5 handicap 35% 2.85
Home clean sheet 35% 2.85
Home -0.5 handicap 30% 3.28
Away Over 1.5 team goals 28% 3.56
Home Over 1.5 team goals 25% 4.02
Away -1.5 handicap 14% 6.94
Home -1.5 handicap 12% 8.50
Away Over 2.5 team goals 9% 11.28
Home Over 2.5 team goals 7% 13.71