Bolivia vs Gambia prediction & stats
Bolivia take on Gambia in a friendly (Friendly International) on 4 October 2026. The Ghost makes Bolivia favourites at 47%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Bolivia vs Gambia prediction
- 47%Bolivia fair odds 2.14
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.74
- 27%Gambia fair odds 3.76
Most likely score 1-1 (12.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.92 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.65 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 15.02 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.21 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.49 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Bolivia 4.7 · Gambia 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Bolivia 2.0 · Gambia 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Bolivia 4.7 · Gambia 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4525 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.5%
- 2–1 9.5%
- 2–0 7.6%
- 1–0 7.5%
- 1–2 6.9%
- 0–0 6.7%
- 2–2 5.9%
- 3–1 5.4%
Form guide
Bolivia at home
3–1–4 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 8
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Gambia away
2–1–2 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 2.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.14 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.82 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.48 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.76 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.88 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.09 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.51 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.63 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.58 |