Mauritius vs Sri Lanka match stats & report
3–0 Full time
Mauritius beat Sri Lanka 3–0 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 2 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mauritius 62%, the draw 26% and Sri Lanka 12%.
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 62%Mauritius fair odds 1.61
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.81
- 12%Sri Lanka fair odds 8.66
Most likely score 1-0 (16.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.16 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.53 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.54 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 38% | 2.65 |
| Both teams to score: No | 62% | 1.61 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected cards: 3.2
Mauritius 1.6 · Sri Lanka 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4330 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 16.0%
- 2–0 14.5%
- 0–0 11.7%
- 1–1 11.7%
- 2–1 8.6%
- 3–0 8.1%
- 0–1 4.8%
- 3–1 4.8%
Form guide
Mauritius at home
1–1–2 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 4
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Sri Lanka away
4–0–2 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- Corners
- 1.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 0.0 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home clean sheet | 55% | 1.82 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 38% | 2.65 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.65 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 36% | 2.77 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.26 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.31 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 12% | 8.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.66 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 32.49 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 43.99 |