D. La Serena vs Concepción prediction & stats
D. La Serena stats & fixtures · Concepción stats & fixtures
D. La Serena take on Concepción in the Primera División on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes D. La Serena favourites at 42%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 54%.
D. La Serena vs Concepción prediction
- 42%D. La Serena fair odds 2.36
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.49
- 29%Concepción fair odds 3.46
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.75 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.01 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.02 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.18 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
D. La Serena 4.6 · Concepción 5.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 5.3
D. La Serena 2.9 · Concepción 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 5.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 6.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 7.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
D. La Serena 4.7 · Concepción 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (242 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 1–0 9.2%
- 2–1 9.1%
- 0–0 8.8%
- 2–0 7.7%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 0–1 6.9%
- 2–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
D. La Serena
- 10 J. Vargas Midfielder
- 33 R. Delgado Defender
- 26 F. Dinamarca Defender
- 14 F. Chamorro Midfielder
- 31 J. Tapia Goalkeeper
- 34 I. Rasso Defender
- 4 F. Mac Allister Midfielder
- 21 B. Gutiérrez Defender
- 23 M. Marín Midfielder
- 9 Á. Henríquez Attacker
- 5 L. Alarcón Defender
Concepción
No lineup published yet.
Form guide
D. La Serena at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.2 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Concepción away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 2.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
D. La Serena vs Concepción head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Concepción v D. La Serena | 3–3 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.74 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 58% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.36 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.07 |
| Home clean sheet | 31% | 3.21 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.46 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.27 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.73 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.61 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.01 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 8.77 |