Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas match stats & report

0–2 Full time

Primera A · Colombia · Clausura - 15 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin · Ref Steven Camargo

Independiente Medellin stats & fixtures · Once Caldas stats & fixtures

Independiente Medellin lost to Once Caldas 0–2 in the Primera A (Clausura - 15) on 18 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.42–0.61. Independiente Medellin had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Independiente Medellin 52%, the draw 28% and Once Caldas 21%.

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas match statistics

Independiente MedellinOnce Caldas

Goals and cards

  1. 17' Yellow card J. Cardona Once Caldas
  2. 21' Yellow card A. Colorado Once Caldas
  3. 35' Goal J. Zapata (assist J. Patiño) Once Caldas
  4. 53' Yellow card L. Escorcia Independiente Medellin
  5. 57' Yellow card J. Nieto Once Caldas
  6. 65' Goal M. Barrios (assist J. Zapata) Once Caldas
  7. 81' Yellow card H. Loboa Independiente Medellin
  8. 82' Yellow card K. Klinger Independiente Medellin

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.10
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals47%2.12
Over 3.5 goals25%3.93
Over 4.5 goals12%8.57
Under 0.5 goals9%11.00
Under 1.5 goals26%3.84
Under 2.5 goals53%1.89
Under 3.5 goals75%1.34
Under 4.5 goals88%1.13
Both teams to score: Yes51%1.97
Both teams to score: No49%2.03

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.1

Independiente Medellin 5.5 · Once Caldas 3.6

Total cornersOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.555%45%
9.543%57%
10.532%68%
11.522%78%

Expected cards: 6.0

Independiente Medellin 3.5 · Once Caldas 2.5

Total cardsOverUnder
4.570%30%
5.555%45%
6.540%60%
7.526%74%
8.516%84%

Expected shots on target: 9.8

Independiente Medellin 5.7 · Once Caldas 4.0

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.574%26%
8.562%38%
9.550%50%
10.539%61%
11.529%71%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (405 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.2%
  2. 1–0 11.2%
  3. 2–0 10.1%
  4. 2–1 9.9%
  5. 0–0 9.1%
  6. 0–1 5.7%
  7. 1–2 5.5%
  8. 3–0 5.2%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Independiente Medellin at home

5–2–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.9 per game
Shots on target
4.8 per game

21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Once Caldas away

1–7–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
5.1 per game
Shots on target
5.6 per game

45% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin 1–1
Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin 1–5
Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas 2–0
Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin 0–2
Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas 1–2
Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin 2–2

The full Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -0.5 handicap 52% 1.93
Home -1.5 handicap 28% 3.60
Home clean sheet 39% 2.59
Home/Draw double chance 79% 1.26
Home +0.5 handicap 79% 1.26
Home +1.5 handicap 92% 1.09
Home Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.25
Home Over 1.5 team goals 48% 2.09
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.38
Home Over 2.5 team goals 22% 4.61
Away +1.5 handicap 72% 1.38
Draw/Away double chance 48% 2.07
Away +0.5 handicap 48% 2.07
Away clean sheet 20% 5.04
Away Over 0.5 team goals 61% 1.63
Away Over 1.5 team goals 25% 4.05
Away -0.5 handicap 21% 4.84
Away Over 2.5 team goals 7% 13.77
Away -1.5 handicap 8% 12.75