Millonarios vs Jaguares match stats & report
4–1 Full time
Millonarios stats & fixtures · Jaguares stats & fixtures
Millonarios beat Jaguares 4–1 in the Primera A (Clausura - 15) on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.59–0.23. Millonarios had 68% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Millonarios 68%, the draw 21% and Jaguares 11%.
Millonarios vs Jaguares match statistics
- 68% Ball possession 32%
- 2.59 Expected goals (xG) 0.23
- 19 Total shots 3
- 9 Shots on target 1
- 7 Shots off target 0
- 3 Blocked shots 2
- 10 Shots inside the box 0
- 3 Corners 0
- 16 Fouls 9
- 4 Offsides 3
- 7 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 376 Passes 371
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 34' Goal A. Estupiñán (assist L. Castro) Millonarios
- 40' Goal L. Castro (assist D. Ruiz) Millonarios
- 42' Yellow card W. De La Rosa Jaguares
- 43' Yellow card S. Mosquera Millonarios
- 45' Yellow card D. Silva Millonarios
- 45+1' Goal C. Álvarez Jaguares
- 45+5' Yellow card J. Lovera Jaguares
- 61' Yellow card A. Estupiñán Millonarios
- 63' Goal A. Estupiñán (assist L. Castro) Millonarios
- 69' Yellow card J. Malagón Jaguares
- 70' Goal D. Ruiz (assist J. Cuadrado) Millonarios
- 73' Yellow card S. Vega Millonarios
- 75' Yellow card A. Rentería Jaguares
- 80' Yellow card J. Cuadrado Millonarios
- 90' Yellow card Sebastián Valencia Isaza Millonarios
- 90+1' Yellow card Leonai Millonarios
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 68%Millonarios fair odds 1.47
- 21%Draw fair odds 4.68
- 11%Jaguares fair odds 9.27
Most likely score 2-0 (13.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.69 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.26 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| Both teams to score: No | 53% | 1.90 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.8
Millonarios 7.0 · Jaguares 2.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 6.6
Millonarios 3.0 · Jaguares 3.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 5.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 6.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 7.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 8.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected shots on target: 10.1
Millonarios 7.4 · Jaguares 2.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (405 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 13.1%
- 1–0 12.0%
- 2–1 10.3%
- 1–1 10.2%
- 3–0 8.6%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 3–1 6.8%
- 4–0 4.2%
Team news & lineups
Millonarios
Bench D. Banguero , R. Contreras , Yeiner Matias Romero Pino, Leonai , S. del Castillo , A. Llinás , J. Angulo , J. Aguirre
Jaguares
Bench A. Alfonso , E. Beltrán , S. Cubides , D. López , J. Malagón , D. Martínez , R. Perez , Jose Yanez, D. Zuluaga
Form guide
Millonarios at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.0 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Jaguares away
0–2–8 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 2.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 3.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.0 per game
44% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Millonarios vs Jaguares head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Jaguares v Millonarios | 1–0 | |
| Millonarios v Jaguares | 0–0 | |
| Jaguares v Millonarios | 2–1 | |
| Jaguares v Millonarios | 2–0 | |
| Millonarios v Jaguares | 2–1 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 32% | 3.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 57% | 1.74 |
| Away clean sheet | 12% | 8.11 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.11 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 17% | 5.85 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 25.05 |
| Home/Away double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home clean sheet | 47% | 2.11 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.04 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 11% | 9.27 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 28.97 |