Chico vs Atletico Nacional match stats & report

1–4 Full time

Primera A · Colombia · Clausura - 1 · Estadio La Independencia, Tunja · Ref Carlos Ortega

Chico stats & fixtures · Atletico Nacional stats & fixtures

Chico lost to Atletico Nacional 1–4 in the Primera A (Clausura - 1) on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.27–1.21. Atletico Nacional had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Chico 16%, the draw 25% and Atletico Nacional 59%.

Chico vs Atletico Nacional match statistics

ChicoAtletico Nacional

Goals and cards

  1. 16' Goal (assist E. Cardona) Atletico Nacional
  2. 19' Yellow card J. Díaz Chico
  3. 38' Yellow card J. Rengifo Atletico Nacional
  4. 45' Yellow card X. Rios Atletico Nacional
  5. 50' Goal E. Cardona (assist N. Rodríguez) Atletico Nacional
  6. 56' Yellow card E. Cardona Atletico Nacional
  7. 62' Yellow card I. Camargo Chico
  8. 83' Penalty scored J. Díaz Chico
  9. 85' Goal A. Sarmiento Atletico Nacional
  10. 90+1' Goal A. Sarmiento (assist K. Parra) Atletico Nacional

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.09
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.73
Over 4.5 goals13%7.98
Under 0.5 goals8%11.87
Under 1.5 goals25%4.01
Under 2.5 goals51%1.95
Under 3.5 goals73%1.37
Under 4.5 goals87%1.14
Both teams to score: Yes49%2.04
Both teams to score: No51%1.97

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.9

Chico 4.3 · Atletico Nacional 4.6

Total cornersOverUnder
6.576%24%
7.565%35%
8.552%48%
9.540%60%
10.529%71%

Expected cards: 5.5

Chico 2.8 · Atletico Nacional 2.7

Total cardsOverUnder
3.579%21%
4.564%36%
5.547%53%
6.532%68%
7.520%80%

Expected shots on target: 9.1

Chico 2.9 · Atletico Nacional 6.2

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.555%45%
9.543%57%
10.532%68%
11.522%78%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (405 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.1%
  2. 0–1 11.9%
  3. 0–2 11.6%
  4. 1–2 10.2%
  5. 0–0 8.4%
  6. 0–3 6.6%
  7. 1–3 5.9%
  8. 1–0 4.5%

Team news & lineups

Chico

Confirmed 4-1-4-1 J. Gómez

Bench sebastian viveros, D. Ramírez , D. Polanco , B. Zapata , J. Pimentel Betancourt , S. Navarro , Luis Carabalí, I. Camargo , Y. Cabrera

Atletico Nacional

Confirmed 4-3-3 L. González

Bench F. Marin , L. Marquinez , Jose Escorcia, Jhan Carlos Moreno Córdoba, K. Parra , N. Rodríguez , A. Sarmiento , S. Velásquez , Edwin Fernelis Echeverría Muñoz

Form guide

Chico at home

6–1–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
6 / 10
Corners
5.8 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Atletico Nacional away

7–0–3 in 10 matches

Scored
2.0 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
6.0 per game
Shots on target
5.8 per game

35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Chico vs Atletico Nacional head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Atletico Nacional v Chico 4–0
Chico v Atletico Nacional 1–1
Atletico Nacional v Chico 4–1
Atletico Nacional v Chico 6–2
Chico v Atletico Nacional 2–1
Chico v Atletico Nacional 1–3

The full Chico vs Atletico Nacional head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +0.5 handicap 41% 2.43
Home -0.5 handicap 16% 6.33
Home +1.5 handicap 66% 1.51
Home/Draw double chance 41% 2.43
Home clean sheet 17% 6.06
Draw/Away double chance 84% 1.19
Home Over 0.5 team goals 57% 1.75
Away +1.5 handicap 94% 1.06
Away Over 0.5 team goals 83% 1.20
Home Over 1.5 team goals 21% 4.81
Home/Away double chance 75% 1.34
Away +0.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Away -0.5 handicap 59% 1.70
Away Over 1.5 team goals 53% 1.87
Away clean sheet 43% 2.34
Away -1.5 handicap 34% 2.96
Away Over 2.5 team goals 26% 3.83
Home Over 2.5 team goals 5% 18.20
Home -1.5 handicap 6% 18.08