Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Jaguares stats & fixtures · Deportes Tolima stats & fixtures
Jaguares beat Deportes Tolima 3–2 in the Primera A (Clausura - 14) on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.39–1.48. Deportes Tolima had 61% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Jaguares 24%, the draw 30% and Deportes Tolima 46%.
Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima match statistics
- 39% Ball possession 61%
- 0.39 Expected goals (xG) 1.48
- 9 Total shots 18
- 5 Shots on target 6
- 1 Shots off target 8
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 3 Shots inside the box 15
- 0 Corners 8
- 13 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 0
- 3 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 301 Passes 461
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 19' Yellow card R. Colpa Jaguares
- 37' Yellow card E. Valencia Deportes Tolima
- 40' Goal L. Jiménez (assist R. Bustamante) Jaguares
- 52' Yellow card B. Rovira Deportes Tolima
- 67' Goal E. Beltrán (assist R. Bustamante) Jaguares
- 68' Yellow card L. Sandoval Deportes Tolima
- 77' Goal A. Parra (assist L. Sandoval) Deportes Tolima
- 87' Goal A. Parra (assist E. Valencia) Deportes Tolima
- 90' Yellow card S. Cubides Jaguares
- 90+3' Goal D. López Jaguares
- 90+5' Yellow card E. Beltrán Jaguares
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 24%Jaguares fair odds 4.24
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.34
- 46%Deportes Tolima fair odds 2.15
Most likely score 1-1 (14.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 10.90 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 9.18 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.34 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| Both teams to score: No | 52% | 1.93 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.4
Jaguares 4.3 · Deportes Tolima 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 5.6
Jaguares 3.0 · Deportes Tolima 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 5.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 6.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 7.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 8.6
Jaguares 3.4 · Deportes Tolima 5.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (410 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.1%
- 0–1 11.9%
- 0–0 10.9%
- 0–2 9.4%
- 1–2 9.2%
- 1–0 7.2%
- 2–1 5.9%
- 0–3 4.4%
Team news & lineups
Jaguares
Bench A. Alfonso , E. Beltrán , S. Cubides , F. Gracia , Elio López, D. López , D. Zuluaga , Jose Yanez, Cristian Castro
Deportes Tolima
Bench E. López , J. Mera , Gustavo Moreno, J. Valencia , M. Ortega , V. Reyes , L. Sandoval , Néifer Sánchez
Form guide
Jaguares at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Deportes Tolima away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima v Jaguares | 3–1 | |
| Jaguares v Deportes Tolima | 0–2 | |
| Deportes Tolima v Jaguares | 2–0 | |
| Jaguares v Deportes Tolima | 0–1 | |
| Deportes Tolima v Jaguares | 1–1 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 24% | 4.15 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.24 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 54% | 1.87 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.87 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.80 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 4.05 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.12 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away clean sheet | 39% | 2.59 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.15 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.41 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.32 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.92 |