Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction & stats

Primera A · Colombia · Clausura - 14 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional stats & fixtures · Deportivo Pasto stats & fixtures

Atletico Nacional take on Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A (Clausura - 14) on 23 October 2026. The Ghost makes Atletico Nacional favourites at 66%, with the draw at 22%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 12.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 48%.

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto prediction

Most likely score 2-0 (12.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals29%3.42
Over 4.5 goals14%7.05
Under 0.5 goals7%13.52
Under 1.5 goals23%4.36
Under 2.5 goals48%2.07
Under 3.5 goals71%1.41
Under 4.5 goals86%1.17
Both teams to score: Yes48%2.10
Both teams to score: No52%1.91

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.9

Atletico Nacional 5.4 · Deportivo Pasto 3.5

Total cornersOverUnder
6.576%24%
7.565%35%
8.552%48%
9.540%60%
10.529%71%

Expected cards: 6.0

Atletico Nacional 2.8 · Deportivo Pasto 3.2

Total cardsOverUnder
3.583%17%
4.570%30%
5.554%46%
6.539%61%
7.526%74%

Expected shots on target: 10.1

Atletico Nacional 7.2 · Deportivo Pasto 2.9

Total shots on targetOverUnder
8.566%34%
9.555%45%
10.543%57%
11.533%67%
12.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (405 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–0 12.9%
  2. 1–0 12.1%
  3. 1–1 10.6%
  4. 2–1 10.3%
  5. 3–0 8.2%
  6. 0–0 7.4%
  7. 3–1 6.6%
  8. 4–0 3.9%

Team news & lineups

Atletico Nacional

No lineup published yet.

Deportivo Pasto

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Atletico Nacional at home

6–3–1 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
0.9 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
5.9 per game
Shots on target
5.6 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pasto away

2–3–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.8 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
3.6 per game
Shots on target
3.9 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional 1–2
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional 2–2
Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto 3–0
Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto 2–1
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional 0–1
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional 1–2

The full Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Draw/Away double chance 34% 2.94
Away Over 1.5 team goals 18% 5.67
Away +0.5 handicap 34% 2.94
Away clean sheet 13% 7.55
Away +1.5 handicap 59% 1.68
Away Over 2.5 team goals 4% 23.76
Away Over 0.5 team goals 53% 1.87
Home Over 0.5 team goals 87% 1.15
Home/Draw double chance 88% 1.13
Home/Away double chance 78% 1.29
Home -0.5 handicap 66% 1.52
Home Over 1.5 team goals 59% 1.68
Home clean sheet 47% 2.15
Home -1.5 handicap 41% 2.47
Home Over 2.5 team goals 31% 3.18
Home +1.5 handicap 96% 1.04
Home +0.5 handicap 88% 1.13
Away -0.5 handicap 12% 8.55
Away -1.5 handicap 4% 26.30