Once Caldas vs Llaneros match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Once Caldas stats & fixtures · Llaneros stats & fixtures
Once Caldas beat Llaneros 1–0 in the Primera A (Clausura - 14) on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.74–1.58. Once Caldas had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Once Caldas 54%, the draw 28% and Llaneros 18%.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros match statistics
- 60% Ball possession 40%
- 0.74 Expected goals (xG) 1.58
- 15 Total shots 10
- 4 Shots on target 5
- 7 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 9 Shots inside the box 5
- 5 Corners 4
- 14 Fouls 11
- 3 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 1
- 460 Passes 295
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 33' Yellow card J. Zapata Once Caldas
- 35' Yellow card J. Castilla Llaneros
- 51' Yellow card J. Cuesta Once Caldas
- 55' Yellow card C. Cortés Llaneros
- 65' Penalty missed C. Cortés Llaneros
- 68' Goal J. Cardona (assist D. Londoño) Once Caldas
- 73' Yellow card F. Meza Llaneros
- 75' Red card J. Vásquez Llaneros
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 54%Once Caldas fair odds 1.86
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.59
- 18%Llaneros fair odds 5.45
Most likely score 1-1 (13.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.39 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10% | 9.99 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 9.90 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| Both teams to score: No | 53% | 1.90 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Once Caldas 6.0 · Llaneros 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 5.8
Once Caldas 2.4 · Llaneros 3.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 5.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 6.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 7.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Once Caldas 6.2 · Llaneros 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (406 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.2%
- 1–0 12.7%
- 2–0 11.1%
- 0–0 10.1%
- 2–1 9.8%
- 0–1 5.7%
- 3–0 5.7%
- 3–1 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Once Caldas
Bench J. Camargo , Rafael Andres Acuña Gonzalez, Jorman Beltran, J. Castaño , T. García , H. Guzman , J. Riquett , E. Torres , M. Zuleta
Llaneros
Bench J. Contreras , J. Loaiza , Y. Mena , L. Miranda , A. Moralez , N. Ospina , Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora
Form guide
Once Caldas at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.1 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Llaneros away
1–2–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Llaneros v Once Caldas | 1–1 | |
| Llaneros v Once Caldas | 2–0 | |
| Once Caldas v Llaneros | 1–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 46% | 2.16 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.95 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.45 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 21% | 4.76 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 17.91 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home clean sheet | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 15.41 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.47 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.75 |