Fakel vs Rodina Moskva prediction & stats
Fakel stats & fixtures · Rodina Moskva stats & fixtures
Fakel take on Rodina Moskva in the Premier League on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Fakel favourites at 39%, with the draw at 32%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 47%.
Fakel vs Rodina Moskva prediction
- 39%Fakel fair odds 2.57
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.14
- 29%Rodina Moskva fair odds 3.41
Most likely score 1-1 (14.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.22 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.70 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.24 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| Both teams to score: No | 53% | 1.89 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Fakel 5.9 · Rodina Moskva 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Fakel 1.7 · Rodina Moskva 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 8.6
Fakel 5.3 · Rodina Moskva 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (238 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.9%
- 0–0 12.1%
- 1–0 11.2%
- 0–1 9.1%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 2–0 7.8%
- 1–2 6.8%
- 0–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Fakel
- 5 A. Gabaraev Midfielder
- 55 D. Todorović Midfielder
- 11 A. Sutormin Attacker
- 8 A. Bagamaev Midfielder
- 53 M. Bardachev Defender
- 90 A. Koksharov Attacker
- 40 Clayton Defender
- 23 V. Yakimov Midfielder
- 19 B. Pusi Attacker
- 10 I. Alshin Defender
- 96 I. Obukhov Goalkeeper
Rodina Moskva
- 6 R. Fishchenko Midfielder
- 17 S. Bakaev Midfielder
- 80 S. Bessmertny Defender
- 7 G. Onugkha Attacker
- 75 M. Nadé Defender
- 13 S. Volkov Goalkeeper
- 10 Y. Reyna Midfielder
- 26 A. Meshchaninov Defender
- 3 L. Goglichidze Defender
- 8 I. Pozo Midfielder
- 50 Rodrigo Becao Defender
Form guide
Fakel at home
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Rodina Moskva away
1–1–8 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 61% | 1.64 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.57 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.81 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.89 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.40 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.41 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.61 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.68 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 8.00 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.44 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.48 |