Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg prediction & stats

Premier League · Russia · Regular Season - 11 · Arena Khimki, Khimki

Rodina Moskva stats & fixtures · FC Orenburg stats & fixtures

Rodina Moskva take on FC Orenburg in the Premier League on 19 October 2026. The Ghost makes Rodina Moskva favourites at 36%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.6%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.09
Over 1.5 goals77%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%7.34
Under 0.5 goals8%12.17
Under 1.5 goals23%4.27
Under 2.5 goals49%2.02
Under 3.5 goals72%1.40
Under 4.5 goals86%1.16
Both teams to score: Yes56%1.78
Both teams to score: No44%2.28

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.5

Rodina Moskva 4.3 · FC Orenburg 5.2

Total cornersOverUnder
7.572%28%
8.560%40%
9.548%52%
10.536%64%
11.526%74%

Expected cards: 4.4

Rodina Moskva 1.9 · FC Orenburg 2.5

Total cardsOverUnder
2.580%20%
3.563%37%
4.545%55%
5.528%72%
6.516%84%

Expected shots on target: 9.2

Rodina Moskva 3.2 · FC Orenburg 6.0

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.568%32%
8.556%44%
9.544%56%
10.533%67%
11.523%77%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (238 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.6%
  2. 2–1 8.4%
  3. 1–2 8.3%
  4. 0–0 8.2%
  5. 1–0 7.7%
  6. 0–1 7.5%
  7. 2–0 6.3%
  8. 0–2 6.1%

Team news & lineups

Rodina Moskva

Probable — not confirmed

FC Orenburg

No lineup published yet.

Out and doubtful

  • M. Rudakov FC Orenburg Out — Arm Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Rodina Moskva at home

0–4–4 in 8 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
2.6 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 8
Corners
3.8 per game
Shots on target
2.8 per game

Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

FC Orenburg away

2–3–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
3.5 per game
Shots on target
2.5 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -0.5 handicap 36% 2.76
Home Over 1.5 team goals 39% 2.54
Home +0.5 handicap 65% 1.55
Home Over 2.5 team goals 16% 6.40
Home/Draw double chance 65% 1.55
Home Over 0.5 team goals 74% 1.35
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.40
Home -1.5 handicap 17% 5.82
Away Over 1.5 team goals 39% 2.58
Away Over 0.5 team goals 74% 1.36
Draw/Away double chance 64% 1.57
Home +1.5 handicap 83% 1.20
Away +1.5 handicap 83% 1.21
Away +0.5 handicap 64% 1.57
Away Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.57
Away -0.5 handicap 35% 2.83
Away -1.5 handicap 17% 6.01
Home clean sheet 26% 3.80
Away clean sheet 26% 3.88