Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Krylia Sovetov stats & fixtures · Fakel stats & fixtures
Krylia Sovetov lost to Fakel 1–2 in the Premier League on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.78–0.73. Krylia Sovetov had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Krylia Sovetov 59%, the draw 27% and Fakel 15%.
Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel match statistics
- 64% Ball possession 36%
- 1.78 Expected goals (xG) 0.73
- 20 Total shots 12
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 9 Shots off target 3
- 5 Blocked shots 5
- 13 Shots inside the box 8
- 6 Corners 4
- 7 Fouls 17
- 2 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 524 Passes 304
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 17' Goal Clayton (assist I. Alshin) Fakel
- 25' Goal M. Kramarič (assist K. Pechenin) Krylia Sovetov
- 45+2' Yellow card V. Yakimov Fakel
- 47' Yellow card A. Gabaraev Fakel
- 62' Yellow card M. Vityugov Krylia Sovetov
- 67' Goal M. Bardachev (assist I. Alshin) Fakel
- 85' Yellow card S. Bozhin Krylia Sovetov
- 90+4' Yellow card I. Alshin Fakel
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 59%Krylia Sovetov fair odds 1.71
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.73
- 15%Fakel fair odds 6.85
Most likely score 1-0 (14.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 10.73 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 9.58 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.36 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.28 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.78 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Krylia Sovetov 4.4 · Fakel 4.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Krylia Sovetov 2.2 · Fakel 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Krylia Sovetov 4.6 · Fakel 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (235 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 14.3%
- 2–0 12.6%
- 1–1 12.5%
- 0–0 10.4%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 3–0 6.7%
- 3–1 5.2%
- 0–1 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Krylia Sovetov
Bench E. Frolov , Dani Fernández , D. Makarov , J. Marín , I. Lepskiy , T. Galdames , D. Oroz , I. Akhmetov , M. Banjac , I. Chesnokov , V. Shitov , K. Stolbov
Fakel
Bench V. Dorovskikh , Y. Zhuravlev , H. El Mahasni , A. Gnapi Dable , A. Kovalev , B. Magomedov , R. Netfullin , K. Simonov , M. Turishchev , D. Frolkin
Out and doubtful
- S. Pesjakov Krylia Sovetov Out — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov at home
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Fakel away
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.2 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Fakel v Krylia Sovetov | 1–1 | |
| Krylia Sovetov v Fakel | 2–0 | |
| Fakel v Krylia Sovetov | 0–1 | |
| Krylia Sovetov v Fakel | 3–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 32% | 3.09 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.71 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.43 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 68% | 1.48 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 41% | 2.42 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.42 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 17% | 5.94 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.85 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 21.32 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 25.54 |
| Home clean sheet | 48% | 2.09 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.33 |