CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva match stats & report
3–0 Full time
CSKA Moscow stats & fixtures · Rodina Moskva stats & fixtures
CSKA Moscow beat Rodina Moskva 3–0 in the Premier League on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.26–0.93. CSKA Moscow had 61% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave CSKA Moscow 74%, the draw 17% and Rodina Moskva 9%.
CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva match statistics
- 61% Ball possession 39%
- 2.26 Expected goals (xG) 0.93
- 28 Total shots 11
- 11 Shots on target 3
- 14 Shots off target 7
- 3 Blocked shots 1
- 18 Shots inside the box 7
- 7 Corners 4
- 11 Fouls 10
- 4 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 588 Passes 363
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 8
Goals and cards
- 24' Goal D. Krugovoy (assist I. Oblyakov) CSKA Moscow
- 35' Goal I. Oblyakov (assist I. Oleynikov) CSKA Moscow
- 75' Yellow card Matija Popovic CSKA Moscow
- 76' Yellow card Igor Silva Rodina Moskva
- 79' Yellow card D. Machado Rodina Moskva
- 80' Goal I. Oblyakov (assist D. Krugovoy) CSKA Moscow
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 74%CSKA Moscow fair odds 1.36
- 17%Draw fair odds 5.78
- 9%Rodina Moskva fair odds 11.09
Most likely score 2-0 (11.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.40 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 22.14 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.10 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.0
CSKA Moscow 6.0 · Rodina Moskva 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
Expected cards: 4.4
CSKA Moscow 1.6 · Rodina Moskva 2.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
CSKA Moscow 6.8 · Rodina Moskva 2.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (232 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.8%
- 2–1 10.2%
- 3–0 9.2%
- 1–0 9.0%
- 1–1 8.2%
- 3–1 8.0%
- 4–0 5.4%
- 4–1 4.7%
Team news & lineups
CSKA Moscow
Bench Nikolay Barovskiy , M. Borisko , M. Zea , P. Filyushin , I. Firov , K. Glebov , Henrique , D. Kozlov , T. Musaev , Matija Popovic , A. Vakulich , Maksim Voronov
Rodina Moskva
Bench S. Aydarov , K. Ushatov , S. Bessmertny , K. Cissoko , L. Goglichidze , M. Križan , L. Musaev , G. Onugkha , Rodrigo Becao , A. Sokol , D. Tananeev , M. Abdusalamov
Out and doubtful
- D. Barinov CSKA Moscow Out — Knee Injury
- I. Pozo Rodina Moskva Out — Suspended
- M. Gajic CSKA Moscow Out — Knee Injury
- Matheus Reis CSKA Moscow Out — Red Card
- Moises CSKA Moscow Out — Knee Injury
- M. Zea CSKA Moscow Doubtful — Tendon Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
CSKA Moscow at home
6–4–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.9 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Rodina Moskva away
1–1–8 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow v Rodina Moskva | 4–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 50% | 1.98 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home/Away double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 50% | 2.02 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.80 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 26% | 3.80 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 20% | 5.08 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 20.10 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home clean sheet | 44% | 2.28 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 9% | 11.09 |
| Away clean sheet | 8% | 12.24 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 33.23 |