FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala match stats & report
4–0 Full time
FC Orenburg stats & fixtures · Dinamo Makhachkala stats & fixtures
FC Orenburg beat Dinamo Makhachkala 4–0 in the Premier League on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 3.88–1.21. Dinamo Makhachkala had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave FC Orenburg 42%, the draw 33% and Dinamo Makhachkala 25%.
FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala match statistics
- 38% Ball possession 62%
- 3.88 Expected goals (xG) 1.21
- 17 Total shots 13
- 8 Shots on target 4
- 6 Shots off target 5
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 16 Shots inside the box 9
- 8 Corners 4
- 17 Fouls 7
- 1 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 256 Passes 440
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 17' Goal G. Guzina (assist J. Thompson) FC Orenburg
- 39' Goal J. Palacios (assist R. Kul) FC Orenburg
- 53' Goal G. Guzina (assist D. Puebla) FC Orenburg
- 54' Yellow card N. Karabashev Dinamo Makhachkala
- 69' Penalty scored J. Thompson FC Orenburg
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 42%FC Orenburg fair odds 2.41
- 33%Draw fair odds 3.03
- 25%Dinamo Makhachkala fair odds 3.92
Most likely score 1-1 (15.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.26 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6% | 16.34 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 14% | 7.11 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36% | 2.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.32 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.76 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
FC Orenburg 5.1 · Dinamo Makhachkala 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.6
FC Orenburg 2.5 · Dinamo Makhachkala 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 7.3
FC Orenburg 4.2 · Dinamo Makhachkala 3.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 6.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 7.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 9.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (228 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 15.0%
- 0–0 14.1%
- 1–0 13.2%
- 0–1 9.2%
- 2–0 8.9%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 1–2 5.8%
- 0–2 4.9%
Team news & lineups
FC Orenburg
Bench A. Degtev , Benjamín Bosch , Renat Golybin , A. Kasadzhikov , A. Kasimov , D. Khotulev , A. Lukashov , O. Minatulaev , E. Nazarenko , S. Poroykov , M. Pykhcheev , D. Vedernikov
Dinamo Makhachkala
Bench Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov , M. Hosseinnezhad , S. Kagermazov , V. Khubulov , R. Magomedov , T. Magomedov , Miro , S. Serderov , D. Volk , K. Zinovich , A. Alarcón , D. Aleksandrov
Out and doubtful
- I. Shumakhov Dinamo Makhachkala Out — Knee Injury
- M. Rudakov FC Orenburg Out — Arm Injury
- D. Khotulev FC Orenburg Doubtful — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
FC Orenburg at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Makhachkala away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Makhachkala v FC Orenburg | 1–0 | |
| FC Orenburg v Dinamo Makhachkala | 1–1 | |
| FC Orenburg v Dinamo Makhachkala | 2–1 | |
| Dinamo Makhachkala v FC Orenburg | 2–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.41 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 58% | 1.71 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.71 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Away double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.97 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.92 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.36 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.45 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.38 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 10.67 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.10 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.44 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.33 |