HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction & stats

HNL · Croatia · Regular Season - 10 · Stadion Poljud, Split · Ref Dario Bel

HNK Hajduk Split stats & fixtures · NK Varazdin stats & fixtures

HNK Hajduk Split take on NK Varazdin in the HNL on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes HNK Hajduk Split favourites at 58%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 49%.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.09
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%8.25
Under 0.5 goals9%11.54
Under 1.5 goals25%3.93
Under 2.5 goals52%1.93
Under 3.5 goals74%1.35
Under 4.5 goals88%1.14
Both teams to score: Yes49%2.05
Both teams to score: No51%1.95

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.4

HNK Hajduk Split 6.3 · NK Varazdin 3.1

Total cornersOverUnder
7.570%30%
8.558%42%
9.546%54%
10.534%66%
11.525%75%

Expected cards: 4.7

HNK Hajduk Split 2.1 · NK Varazdin 2.5

Total cardsOverUnder
2.583%17%
3.567%33%
4.549%51%
5.533%67%
6.520%80%

Expected shots on target: 9.2

HNK Hajduk Split 6.5 · NK Varazdin 2.7

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.568%32%
8.556%44%
9.544%56%
10.533%67%
11.523%77%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (180 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.2%
  2. 1–0 12.1%
  3. 2–0 11.6%
  4. 2–1 10.2%
  5. 0–0 8.7%
  6. 3–0 6.5%
  7. 3–1 5.7%
  8. 0–1 4.7%

Team news & lineups

HNK Hajduk Split

Probable — not confirmed

NK Varazdin

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

HNK Hajduk Split at home

8–2–0 in 10 matches

Scored
2.3 per game
Conceded
0.6 per game
Clean sheets
6 / 10
Corners
4.9 per game
Shots on target
5.4 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

NK Varazdin away

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.6 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
3.5 per game
Shots on target
4.7 per game

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin head-to-head

DateMatchScore
NK Varazdin v HNK Hajduk Split 2–1
HNK Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin 3–1
NK Varazdin v HNK Hajduk Split 1–1
HNK Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin 1–1
NK Varazdin v HNK Hajduk Split 2–0
NK Varazdin v HNK Hajduk Split 1–1

The full HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home clean sheet 43% 2.33
Home -1.5 handicap 33% 3.02
Home -0.5 handicap 58% 1.72
Home/Draw double chance 84% 1.19
Home +0.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Home Over 0.5 team goals 83% 1.20
Home +1.5 handicap 94% 1.06
Home/Away double chance 74% 1.35
Home Over 2.5 team goals 25% 3.95
Home Over 1.5 team goals 53% 1.90
Away +1.5 handicap 67% 1.49
Away +0.5 handicap 42% 2.40
Draw/Away double chance 42% 2.40
Away Over 0.5 team goals 57% 1.75
Away clean sheet 17% 5.88
Away -0.5 handicap 16% 6.22
Away Over 1.5 team goals 21% 4.82
Away -1.5 handicap 6% 17.74
Away Over 2.5 team goals 5% 18.26