Sandefjord vs Lillestrom prediction & stats

Eliteserien · Norway · Regular Season - 24 · Sandefjord Arena, Sandefjord · Ref Tore Hansen

Sandefjord stats & fixtures · Lillestrom stats & fixtures

Sandefjord take on Lillestrom in the Eliteserien on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Sandefjord favourites at 47%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Sandefjord vs Lillestrom prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.07
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.75
Over 3.5 goals34%2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%5.59
Under 0.5 goals6%15.56
Under 1.5 goals19%5.25
Under 2.5 goals43%2.33
Under 3.5 goals66%1.52
Under 4.5 goals82%1.22
Both teams to score: Yes60%1.67
Both teams to score: No40%2.50

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 11.2

Sandefjord 5.8 · Lillestrom 5.3

Total cornersOverUnder
9.566%34%
10.555%45%
11.544%56%
12.534%66%
13.525%75%

Expected cards: 4.1

Sandefjord 2.1 · Lillestrom 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
2.576%24%
3.557%43%
4.538%62%
5.523%77%
6.512%88%

Expected shots on target: 9.5

Sandefjord 5.4 · Lillestrom 4.1

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.571%29%
8.559%41%
9.547%53%
10.536%64%
11.526%74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (227 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.2%
  2. 2–1 9.7%
  3. 1–0 7.5%
  4. 2–0 7.5%
  5. 1–2 7.0%
  6. 0–0 6.4%
  7. 2–2 5.8%
  8. 3–1 5.4%

Team news & lineups

Sandefjord

Probable — not confirmed

Lillestrom

Probable — not confirmed

Out and doubtful

  • C. Jebara Lillestrom Out — Injury
  • E. B. Garnas Lillestrom Out — Knee Injury
  • M. Melchior Sandefjord Out — Knee Injury
  • N. Moller Sandefjord Out — Ankle Injury
  • D. Koswal Sandefjord Out — Knee Injury
  • T. Borkeeiet Sandefjord Out — Red Card
  • L. Alperud Lillestrom Doubtful — Injury
  • F. Loftesnes-Bjune Sandefjord Doubtful — Thigh Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Sandefjord at home

3–5–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
5.5 per game
Shots on target
4.1 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Lillestrom away

3–3–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
3.3 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Sandefjord vs Lillestrom head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Lillestrom v Sandefjord 3–1
Lillestrom v Sandefjord 1–2
Lillestrom v Sandefjord 0–3
Sandefjord v Lillestrom 0–1
Lillestrom v Sandefjord 2–2
Sandefjord v Lillestrom 1–0

The full Sandefjord vs Lillestrom head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -1.5 handicap 25% 3.97
Home clean sheet 28% 3.56
Home -0.5 handicap 47% 2.15
Home/Draw double chance 73% 1.38
Home +0.5 handicap 73% 1.38
Home Over 2.5 team goals 24% 4.15
Home +1.5 handicap 88% 1.14
Home Over 1.5 team goals 51% 1.97
Home Over 0.5 team goals 82% 1.22
Home/Away double chance 74% 1.35
Away +1.5 handicap 75% 1.34
Away Over 0.5 team goals 72% 1.39
Away +0.5 handicap 53% 1.87
Draw/Away double chance 53% 1.87
Away clean sheet 18% 5.45
Away Over 1.5 team goals 36% 2.76
Away -0.5 handicap 27% 3.64
Away Over 2.5 team goals 14% 7.30
Away -1.5 handicap 12% 8.11