Lillestrom vs Molde match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Lillestrom stats & fixtures · Molde stats & fixtures
Lillestrom drew with Molde 2–2 in the Eliteserien on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.61–2.68. Molde had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lillestrom 34%, the draw 25% and Molde 41%.
Lillestrom vs Molde match statistics
- 43% Ball possession 57%
- 1.61 Expected goals (xG) 2.68
- 13 Total shots 27
- 5 Shots on target 11
- 5 Shots off target 7
- 3 Blocked shots 9
- 10 Shots inside the box 19
- 7 Corners 6
- 8 Fouls 9
- 1 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 457 Passes 628
- 9 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 10' Goal S. Kilen (assist K. Lonebu) Molde
- 16' Goal Vá (assist D. Bassi) Lillestrom
- 24' Yellow card S. Granaas Molde
- 26' Goal E. Breivik (assist D. Daga) Molde
- 37' Yellow card S. Kilen Molde
- 50' Yellow card M. Linnes Molde
- 80' Yellow card D. Daga Molde
- 87' Goal S. Foss Lillestrom
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 34%Lillestrom fair odds 2.94
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.02
- 41%Molde fair odds 2.43
Most likely score 1-1 (11.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.47 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 19.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.87 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Lillestrom 5.4 · Molde 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Lillestrom 1.5 · Molde 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 9.2
Lillestrom 4.0 · Molde 5.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (219 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.2%
- 1–2 8.9%
- 2–1 7.9%
- 2–2 6.4%
- 0–2 5.8%
- 0–1 5.5%
- 0–0 5.1%
- 1–3 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Lillestrom
Bench F. Gulbrandsen , S. Hagerup , Y. Ibrahimaj , S. Kristiansen , K. Krygard , H. Melland , G. Nordh , S. Ottesen , Y. Paintsil
Molde
Bench V. Bender , M. Daehli , S. Kabini , Trent Toure Kone Doherty , P. Lervik , N. Odegard , B. Risa , O. Spiten-Nysaeter , Jonathan Fugelsnes, Mads Eikrem Myklebust
Out and doubtful
- C. Jebara Lillestrom Out — Injury
- E. B. Garnas Lillestrom Out — Knee Injury
- E. Hestad Molde Out — Leg Injury
- H. Stenevik Molde Out — Injury
- S. Hansen Molde Out — Injury
- M. Kikkenborg Molde Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- S. Diop Molde Out — Inactive
- V. Hoff Molde Out — Knee Injury
- B. Risa Molde Doubtful — Injury
- J. Abdullai Molde Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Lillestrom at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 7.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Molde away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.3 per game
24% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lillestrom vs Molde head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Molde v Lillestrom | 0–1 | |
| Lillestrom v Molde | 1–2 | |
| Molde v Lillestrom | 3–0 | |
| Molde v Lillestrom | 4–0 | |
| Lillestrom v Molde | 2–1 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.63 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.43 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.46 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.56 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 59% | 1.70 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.94 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.90 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.11 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.97 |