Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF match stats & report
2–4 Full time
Aalesund stats & fixtures · Sarpsborg 08 FF stats & fixtures
Aalesund lost to Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–4 in the Eliteserien on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.75–2.40. Aalesund had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Aalesund 48%, the draw 22% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 30%.
Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 1.75 Expected goals (xG) 2.40
- 23 Total shots 18
- 7 Shots on target 8
- 8 Shots off target 9
- 8 Blocked shots 1
- 18 Shots inside the box 15
- 8 Corners 6
- 17 Fouls 14
- 0 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 457 Passes 421
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal E. Wichne (assist S. Christiansen) Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 9' Yellow card B. Utvik Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 40' Yellow card S. Rosted Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 51' Goal S. Sørli (assist N. Williams) Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 54' Goal N. Williams Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 65' Penalty scored O. Skarsem Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 70' Goal E. Hagen (assist M. Reed) Aalesund
- 74' Goal E. Hagen (assist M. Reed) Aalesund
- 80' Yellow card O. Gudmundsson Aalesund
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 48%Aalesund fair odds 2.08
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.52
- 30%Sarpsborg 08 FF fair odds 3.36
Most likely score 1-1 (9.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 31% | 3.22 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 29.17 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11% | 9.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | 3.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: No | 29% | 3.43 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.3
Aalesund 5.7 · Sarpsborg 08 FF 5.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 11.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 12.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 13.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Aalesund 2.0 · Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 10.9
Aalesund 5.7 · Sarpsborg 08 FF 5.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 9.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 10.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 11.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 12.5 | 31% | 69% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (219 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 9.0%
- 2–1 9.0%
- 1–2 6.8%
- 2–2 6.7%
- 3–1 6.1%
- 2–0 5.5%
- 3–2 5.0%
- 1–0 4.2%
Team news & lineups
Aalesund
Bench P. Aukland , S. Kartum , M. Kristensen , T. Larsen , E. Myrlid , P. Ngongo , J. Ørsahl , U. Syversen , T. Leikanger
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bench A. Sher , C. Niyukuri , M. Lode , J. Pryts , L. Høyland , A. Hiim , V. Halvorsen , Bop Gueye , Camil Mmaee
Out and doubtful
- A. Kjelsen Aalesund Out — Injury
- H. Hammer Aalesund Out — Injury
- I. Djantou Aalesund Out — Inactive
- M. Andresen Aalesund Out — Yellow Cards
- S. Haram Aalesund Out — Elbow Injury
- F. Carstensen Sarpsborg 08 FF Out — Injury
- J. Seehusen Aalesund Out — Injury
- M. Kristensen Aalesund Out — Injury
- P. Ngongo Aalesund Out — Surgery
- M. Opoku Sarpsborg 08 FF Out — Ankle Injury
- P. Aukland Aalesund Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Aalesund at home
2–6–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 2.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.4 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sarpsborg 08 FF away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Aalesund v Sarpsborg 08 FF | 3–2 | |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF v Aalesund | 3–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.54 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.92 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.08 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.42 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 5.03 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.49 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 52% | 1.93 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.93 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.36 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.70 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.89 |