Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC match stats & report
4–0 Full time
Libertad stats & fixtures · Guayaquil City FC stats & fixtures
Libertad beat Guayaquil City FC 4–0 in Liga Pro (Placement Group - 3) on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.97–0.78. Guayaquil City FC had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Libertad 46%, the draw 27% and Guayaquil City FC 27%.
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 1.97 Expected goals (xG) 0.78
- 21 Total shots 11
- 6 Shots on target 2
- 7 Shots off target 4
- 8 Blocked shots 5
- 10 Shots inside the box 5
- 4 Corners 3
- 16 Fouls 5
- 3 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 386 Passes 447
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 16' Yellow card B. Caicedo Libertad
- 23' Yellow card R. Morinigo Libertad
- 40' Goal G. Cortéz (assist J. Bravo) Libertad
- 48' Goal Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (assist J. Bravo) Libertad
- 55' Yellow card P. González Guayaquil City FC
- 59' Goal Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (assist E. Patta) Libertad
- 67' Goal J. Rodríguez (assist Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín) Libertad
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 46%Libertad fair odds 2.17
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.73
- 27%Guayaquil City FC fair odds 3.70
Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.32 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.92 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.76 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.37 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.0
Libertad 5.2 · Guayaquil City FC 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Libertad 2.2 · Guayaquil City FC 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.1
Libertad 5.2 · Guayaquil City FC 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 10.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (311 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.7%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 1–0 8.2%
- 2–0 7.8%
- 0–0 7.2%
- 1–2 6.9%
- 0–1 5.6%
- 2–2 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Libertad
Bench Stick Carlos Castro Palma , D. Coronel , E. Caicedo , J. Estacio , C. Gruezo , J. Guisamano , M. Lucas , P. Mina , Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez , C. Valencia , H. Batalla
Guayaquil City FC
Bench M. Bolaños , E. Cabezas , J. Caicedo , S. Laurino , G. Napa , A. Naula , J. Ordóñez , M. Palma , Rodrigo Ramiro Perea Salazar , J. Quiñónez , K. Sambonino , J. Vivar
Form guide
Libertad at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Guayaquil City FC away
1–3–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 2.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Guayaquil City FC v Libertad | 2–2 | |
| Libertad v Guayaquil City FC | 0–1 | |
| Libertad v Guayaquil City FC | 1–0 | |
| Guayaquil City FC v Libertad | 1–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.08 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.93 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.70 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.48 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.43 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.24 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.32 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.17 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 4.08 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 5.10 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.35 |