Libertad vs Leones del Norte match stats & report
3–0 Full time
Libertad stats & fixtures · Leones del Norte stats & fixtures
Libertad beat Leones del Norte 3–0 in Liga Pro (Placement Group - 2) on 9 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.12–1.03. Leones del Norte had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Libertad 44%, the draw 29% and Leones del Norte 28%.
Libertad vs Leones del Norte match statistics
- 46% Ball possession 54%
- 2.12 Expected goals (xG) 1.03
- 15 Total shots 17
- 7 Shots on target 4
- 6 Shots off target 10
- 2 Blocked shots 3
- 8 Shots inside the box 7
- 4 Corners 7
- 9 Fouls 12
- 2 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 370 Passes 429
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 26' Goal E. Patta Libertad
- 45+1' Yellow card C. Velez Leones del Norte
- 67' Goal Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (assist X. Pineda) Libertad
- 88' Goal X. Pineda Libertad
- 90+1' Yellow card R. Arroyo Leones del Norte
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Libertad fair odds 2.29
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.49
- 28%Leones del Norte fair odds 3.63
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.81 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.20 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.20 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.96 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.2
Libertad 4.9 · Leones del Norte 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.6
Libertad 2.3 · Leones del Norte 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
Libertad 5.1 · Leones del Norte 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (302 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 1–0 9.5%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 0–0 8.9%
- 2–0 8.1%
- 1–2 6.9%
- 0–1 6.8%
- 2–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Libertad
Bench Stick Carlos Castro Palma , D. Coronel , E. Caicedo , S. Bueno Quinonez , J. Estacio , C. Gruezo , J. Guisamano , M. Lucas , P. Mina , Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez , Yerlin Quinonez
Leones del Norte
Bench T. Amilivia , J. Arellano , R. Arroyo , R. Borja , O. Cabeza , Miguel Yordan Caicedo Orobio , M. Caramuto , A. Rosales , M. Ramírez , G. Padilla , D. Pazmiño , F. Vargas
Form guide
Libertad at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Leones del Norte away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Libertad vs Leones del Norte head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Libertad v Leones del Norte | 1–3 | |
| Leones del Norte v Libertad | 1–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.49 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.55 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.29 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.21 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.42 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.09 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.63 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.57 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.35 |