Independiente del Valle vs Aucas match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Independiente del Valle stats & fixtures · Aucas stats & fixtures
Independiente del Valle beat Aucas 2–1 in Liga Pro (Championship Group - 2) on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.15–0.62. Independiente del Valle had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Independiente del Valle 58%, the draw 25% and Aucas 17%.
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas match statistics
- 59% Ball possession 41%
- 0.15 Expected goals (xG) 0.62
- 7 Total shots 3
- 4 Shots on target 1
- 3 Shots off target 2
- 0 Blocked shots 0
- 7 Corners 1
- 0 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
Goals and cards
- 33' Goal P. Guzmán (assist A. Preciado) Aucas
- 34' Yellow card J. Sornoza Independiente del Valle
- 39' Penalty missed J. Sornoza Independiente del Valle
- 56' Goal H. Quintana Independiente del Valle
- 65' Yellow card H. Quintana Independiente del Valle
- 74' Goal Independiente del Valle
- 90+4' Yellow card A. Zova Aucas
- 90+5' Yellow card S. Morales Aucas
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 58%Independiente del Valle fair odds 1.73
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.93
- 17%Aucas fair odds 5.94
Most likely score 1-1 (12.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.63 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.65 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Independiente del Valle 6.1 · Aucas 3.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.9
Independiente del Valle 2.1 · Aucas 2.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 5.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Independiente del Valle 5.0 · Aucas 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (304 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.2%
- 1–0 11.4%
- 2–0 11.1%
- 2–1 10.3%
- 0–0 8.2%
- 3–0 6.4%
- 3–1 5.9%
- 1–2 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Independiente del Valle
Bench G. Cortéz , Steven Daniel Góngora Palacios, J. Méndez , Y. Ochoa , M. Peralta , E. Quintero , H. Quintero , D. Reasco , Andy René Velasco García , Juan Viacava, Y. Vásquez , R. Briones
Aucas
Bench C. Zambrano , M. Vera , Thiago , B. Oyola , R. Monti Azpiazu , I. Chaves , M. Burdisso , A. Bolaños , J. Andrade
Form guide
Independiente del Valle at home
8–1–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.1 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Aucas away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 0–3 | |
| Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 2–2 | |
| Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 2–1 | |
| Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 1–2 | |
| Aucas v Independiente del Valle | 0–2 | |
| Independiente del Valle v Aucas | 1–1 |
The full Independiente del Valle vs Aucas head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 42% | 2.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.48 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 6.01 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.94 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.44 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.73 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.04 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.24 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.85 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.44 |