HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan match stats & report
4–0 Full time
HJK Helsinki stats & fixtures · Gnistan stats & fixtures
HJK Helsinki beat Gnistan 4–0 in the Veikkausliiga (Championship Group - 28) on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 3.97–0.39. HJK Helsinki had 63% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave HJK Helsinki 65%, the draw 19% and Gnistan 16%.
HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan match statistics
- 63% Ball possession 37%
- 3.97 Expected goals (xG) 0.39
- 19 Total shots 10
- 10 Shots on target 4
- 4 Shots off target 6
- 5 Blocked shots 0
- 14 Shots inside the box 5
- 4 Corners 6
- 7 Fouls 15
- 0 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 1
- 657 Passes 268
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 6
Goals and cards
- 12' Yellow card G. Europaeus Gnistan
- 30' Yellow card A. Atarah Gnistan
- 47' Yellow card S. Eremenko Gnistan
- 50' Goal M. Borchers HJK Helsinki
- 53' Red card E. Arko-Mensah Gnistan
- 60' Goal S. Haarala (assist K. Simojoki) HJK Helsinki
- 66' Goal M. Borchers (assist S. Haarala) HJK Helsinki
- 90+2' Goal M. Borchers HJK Helsinki
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 65%HJK Helsinki fair odds 1.54
- 19%Draw fair odds 5.24
- 16%Gnistan fair odds 6.34
Most likely score 2-1 (10.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 28.87 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11% | 8.78 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.37 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.82 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
HJK Helsinki 5.5 · Gnistan 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.0
HJK Helsinki 1.2 · Gnistan 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
HJK Helsinki 5.9 · Gnistan 2.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (97 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.1%
- 1–1 8.3%
- 2–0 8.2%
- 3–1 7.9%
- 3–0 6.4%
- 1–0 5.8%
- 2–2 5.3%
- 3–2 4.9%
Team news & lineups
HJK Helsinki
Bench N. Alho , T. Cissokho , Mouhamed Guèye II , L. Lappalainen , L. Lingman , L. Möller , J. Samooja , J. Veteli , M. Kirilov
Gnistan
Bench M. JuriÄka , O. Hannula , R. Eremenko , B. Dahlström , A. Obileye , J. Ojala , D. Pérez
Form guide
HJK Helsinki at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Gnistan away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Gnistan v HJK Helsinki | 1–1 | |
| HJK Helsinki v Gnistan | 2–3 | |
| Gnistan v HJK Helsinki | 0–3 | |
| HJK Helsinki v Gnistan | 3–0 | |
| Gnistan v HJK Helsinki | 2–2 | |
| HJK Helsinki v Gnistan | 2–3 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 43% | 2.33 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 57% | 1.75 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home/Away double chance | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.87 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.34 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.47 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 35% | 2.87 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.29 |
| Away clean sheet | 9% | 11.73 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 15.28 |