Lahti vs Turku PS match stats & report
5–1 Full time
Lahti beat Turku PS 5–1 in the Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group - 27) on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 4.32–1.11. Lahti had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lahti 38%, the draw 34% and Turku PS 28%.
Lahti vs Turku PS match statistics
- 59% Ball possession 41%
- 4.32 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
- 28 Total shots 8
- 15 Shots on target 4
- 9 Shots off target 2
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 21 Shots inside the box 4
- 9 Corners 0
- 11 Fouls 7
- 0 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 517 Passes 276
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 9
Goals and cards
- 12' Goal O. Häggström (assist M. Kauppila) Turku PS
- 22' Goal Martim Ferreira (assist Tòfol Montiel) Lahti
- 26' Yellow card C. Azongnitode Turku PS
- 29' Goal A. Belabid (assist O. Koskinen) Lahti
- 34' Goal O. Koskinen Lahti
- 56' Goal A. Belabid Lahti
- 60' Goal O. Koskinen Lahti
- 82' Yellow card A. Kabashi Lahti
- 90+3' Yellow card J. Lehtonen Lahti
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 38%Lahti fair odds 2.63
- 34%Draw fair odds 2.93
- 28%Turku PS fair odds 3.59
Most likely score 1-1 (15.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.05 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.84 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 18.41 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 42% | 2.39 |
| Both teams to score: No | 58% | 1.72 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.2
Lahti 4.6 · Turku PS 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Lahti 2.3 · Turku PS 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 7.2
Lahti 3.4 · Turku PS 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 6.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 7.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 8.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 9.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (97 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 15.2%
- 0–0 15.1%
- 1–0 13.0%
- 0–1 10.3%
- 2–0 8.1%
- 2–1 7.5%
- 1–2 6.1%
- 0–2 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Lahti
Bench A. Kabashi , O. Koskinen , J. Lehtonen , A. Lindholm , Neemias Barbosa , Veikka Ratto , R. Sans , V. Vehkonen , Ahmed Babiker
Turku PS
Bench E. Turkki , K. Visser , N. Talo , A. Sihvonen , T. Karkulowski , L. Ivanovic , E. Henriksson , S. Anini , Joel Ahen
Form guide
Lahti at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.3 per game
10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Turku PS away
1–3–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 2.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lahti vs Turku PS head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Lahti v Turku PS | 0–0 | |
| Turku PS v Lahti | 2–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 33% | 3.03 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.61 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 62% | 1.61 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.59 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.49 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.60 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.12 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home/Away double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.30 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.63 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 15.29 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.30 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.17 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.00 |