Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction & stats

Bundesliga · Austria · Regular Season - 9 · Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz · Ref Julian Weinberger

Sturm Graz stats & fixtures · Grazer AK stats & fixtures

Sturm Graz take on Grazer AK in the Bundesliga on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Sturm Graz favourites at 61%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.35
Over 4.5 goals15%6.85
Under 0.5 goals7%13.51
Under 1.5 goals22%4.46
Under 2.5 goals48%2.10
Under 3.5 goals70%1.43
Under 4.5 goals85%1.17
Both teams to score: Yes51%1.95
Both teams to score: No49%2.05

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.0

Sturm Graz 6.3 · Grazer AK 3.7

Total cornersOverUnder
7.576%24%
8.565%35%
9.553%47%
10.541%59%
11.531%69%

Expected cards: 4.7

Sturm Graz 1.9 · Grazer AK 2.9

Total cardsOverUnder
2.584%16%
3.569%31%
4.551%49%
5.534%66%
6.521%79%

Expected shots on target: 8.4

Sturm Graz 5.1 · Grazer AK 3.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.572%28%
7.559%41%
8.546%54%
9.534%66%
10.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (193 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.5%
  2. 2–0 11.3%
  3. 1–0 11.0%
  4. 2–1 10.4%
  5. 0–0 7.4%
  6. 3–0 6.9%
  7. 3–1 6.3%
  8. 1–2 4.4%

Team news & lineups

Sturm Graz

Probable — not confirmed

Grazer AK

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Sturm Graz at home

7–2–1 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
0.6 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
6.8 per game
Shots on target
4.2 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Grazer AK away

4–0–6 in 10 matches

Scored
1.6 per game
Conceded
1.9 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
3.6 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Sturm Graz v Grazer AK 2–1
Grazer AK v Sturm Graz 0–3
Grazer AK v Sturm Graz 1–2
Sturm Graz v Grazer AK 5–2

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -1.5 handicap 36% 2.79
Home clean sheet 41% 2.42
Home -0.5 handicap 61% 1.65
Home +0.5 handicap 85% 1.18
Home Over 2.5 team goals 29% 3.45
Home/Draw double chance 85% 1.18
Home Over 1.5 team goals 57% 1.77
Home +1.5 handicap 95% 1.06
Home Over 0.5 team goals 85% 1.17
Home/Away double chance 76% 1.32
Away +1.5 handicap 64% 1.56
Draw/Away double chance 39% 2.54
Away Over 0.5 team goals 59% 1.70
Away +0.5 handicap 39% 2.54
Away clean sheet 15% 6.75
Away Over 1.5 team goals 22% 4.54
Away -0.5 handicap 15% 6.51
Away -1.5 handicap 5% 18.20
Away Over 2.5 team goals 6% 16.59