Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce prediction & stats
Lech Poznan stats & fixtures · Korona Kielce stats & fixtures
Lech Poznan take on Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Lech Poznan favourites at 64%, with the draw at 22%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 11.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce prediction
- 64%Lech Poznan fair odds 1.57
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.49
- 14%Korona Kielce fair odds 7.07
Most likely score 2-0 (11.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.78 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.86 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 5.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.13 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Lech Poznan 6.6 · Korona Kielce 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Lech Poznan 1.6 · Korona Kielce 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
Lech Poznan 6.1 · Korona Kielce 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (303 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.2%
- 1–1 10.6%
- 2–1 10.6%
- 1–0 10.0%
- 3–0 7.3%
- 3–1 6.9%
- 0–0 6.3%
- 2–2 4.3%
Team news & lineups
Lech Poznan
- 2 Joel Pereira Defender
- 9 M. Ishak Attacker
- 1 M. Lis Goalkeeper
- 27 W. Mońka Defender
- 15 M. Gurgul Defender
- 72 M. Skrzypczak Defender
- 10 P. Wålemark Midfielder
- 14 L. Bengtsson Midfielder
- 21 Pablo Rodríguez Midfielder
- 22 R. Murawski Midfielder
- 77 L. Palma Midfielder
Korona Kielce
- 32 O. Lingr Midfielder
- 35 Kamil Jakubczyk Midfielder
- 2 A. Mosór Defender
- 18 P. Hellebrand Midfielder
- 23 S. Rubežić Defender
- 14 M. Stępiński Attacker
- 71 W. Długosz Defender
- 1 X. Dziekoński Goalkeeper
- 6 M. Pięczek Defender
- 19 M. Ameyaw Midfielder
- 30 C. Mena Midfielder
Form guide
Lech Poznan at home
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.9 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Korona Kielce away
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan | 1–2 | |
| Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce | 1–1 | |
| Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce | 2–0 | |
| Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan | 2–3 | |
| Lech Poznan v Korona Kielce | 1–2 | |
| Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan | 0–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 39% | 2.55 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.90 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.47 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 36% | 2.75 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.75 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.68 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.03 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.40 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 14% | 7.07 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 15.79 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 19.61 |