Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Nacional Asuncion stats & fixtures · Deportivo Recoleta stats & fixtures
Nacional Asuncion beat Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Clausura - 14) on 12 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.26–0.91. Nacional Asuncion had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Nacional Asuncion 65%, the draw 24% and Deportivo Recoleta 12%.
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta match statistics
- 56% Ball possession 44%
- 2.26 Expected goals (xG) 0.91
- 13 Total shots 11
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 3 Shots off target 6
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 10 Shots inside the box 7
- 6 Corners 7
- 10 Fouls 12
- 2 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 1 Red cards 0
- 373 Passes 300
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 41' Yellow card W. Báez Deportivo Recoleta
- 42' Yellow card P. Rios Deportivo Recoleta
- 43' Penalty missed H. Benítez Nacional Asuncion
- 56' Goal L. Meza (assist C. Espínola) Nacional Asuncion
- 67' Yellow card J. Franco Deportivo Recoleta
- 90+1' Yellow card R. Melgarejo Nacional Asuncion
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 65%Nacional Asuncion fair odds 1.55
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.23
- 12%Deportivo Recoleta fair odds 8.54
Most likely score 1-0 (13.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.92 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.56 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.54 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 45% | 2.24 |
| Both teams to score: No | 55% | 1.80 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Nacional Asuncion 5.2 · Deportivo Recoleta 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Nacional Asuncion 1.5 · Deportivo Recoleta 2.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Nacional Asuncion 5.2 · Deportivo Recoleta 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (115 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 13.6%
- 2–0 13.5%
- 1–1 11.1%
- 2–1 10.1%
- 0–0 8.7%
- 3–0 8.0%
- 3–1 6.0%
- 0–1 3.9%
Team news & lineups
Nacional Asuncion
Bench Rodolfo Arguello , Matías Facundo Almeida Martínez, I. Bailone , G. Benítez , D. Caballero , F. Pelozo , F. Pumpido , Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez , J. Santacruz , I. Valdez , T. Vega , Elias Enrique Villlar Fleitas
Deportivo Recoleta
Bench F. Galeano , C. Garay , A. Marsegno , B. Medina , J. Núñez , R. Ortiz , K. Parzajuk , M. Pereira , M. Shupp , A. Silva , T. Vidal , J. Espínola
Form guide
Nacional Asuncion at home
8–2–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Recoleta away
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.4 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta v Nacional Asuncion | 3–2 | |
| Nacional Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta | 2–1 | |
| Nacional Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta | 1–1 | |
| Deportivo Recoleta v Nacional Asuncion | 2–2 | |
| Deportivo Recoleta v Nacional Asuncion | 0–0 | |
| Nacional Asuncion v Deportivo Recoleta | 1–0 |
The full Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 39% | 2.60 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home clean sheet | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.55 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 61% | 1.63 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.68 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 35% | 2.83 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.83 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 16% | 6.33 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.54 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 28.29 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 27.42 |