Mantova vs Palermo match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Mantova lost to Palermo 0–2 in Serie B on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.92–2.00. Mantova had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mantova 36%, the draw 27% and Palermo 37%.
Mantova vs Palermo match statistics
- 56% Ball possession 44%
- 1.92 Expected goals (xG) 2.00
- 15 Total shots 13
- 4 Shots on target 5
- 8 Shots off target 5
- 3 Blocked shots 3
- 8 Shots inside the box 11
- 3 Corners 3
- 15 Fouls 12
- 2 Offsides 3
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 505 Passes 395
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 21' Yellow card M. Bani Palermo
- 62' Goal J. Segre Palermo
- 86' Goal Hernani (assist D. Vavassori) Palermo
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 36%Mantova fair odds 2.80
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.71
- 37%Palermo fair odds 2.68
Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.87 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.77 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 5.05 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.50 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.2
Mantova 4.8 · Palermo 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.8
Mantova 2.1 · Palermo 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Mantova 4.9 · Palermo 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (381 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.7%
- 1–2 8.6%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 0–0 6.8%
- 0–1 6.6%
- 1–0 6.4%
- 0–2 6.0%
- 2–2 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Mantova
Bench M. Gasparini , L. Gemello , E. Gliozzi , L. Ignacchiti , J. Mboyo , S. Keita , E. Košpo , N. Radaelli , F. Vesentini , D. Wieser , I. Cajazzo
Palermo
Bench L. Mazzitelli , M. Nespola , P. Peda , G. Magnani , E. Gyasi , C. Gomes , A. Gabrielloni , M. Fortin , N. Estévez , A. Bozzolan , Hernani
Form guide
Mantova at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Palermo away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Mantova vs Palermo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo v Mantova | 2–1 | |
| Mantova v Palermo | 1–1 | |
| Palermo v Mantova | 2–2 | |
| Mantova v Palermo | 0–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.80 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.74 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.67 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.60 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 63% | 1.60 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.36 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.30 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.56 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 64% | 1.56 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.40 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.40 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.68 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.20 |