Carrarese vs Modena match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Carrarese beat Modena 2–1 in Serie B on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.78–1.03. Modena had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Carrarese 31%, the draw 31% and Modena 38%.
Carrarese vs Modena match statistics
- 42% Ball possession 58%
- 1.78 Expected goals (xG) 1.03
- 9 Total shots 14
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 4
- 0 Blocked shots 6
- 7 Shots inside the box 8
- 2 Corners 8
- 19 Fouls 14
- 2 Offsides 1
- 4 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 358 Passes 491
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 1' Goal F. Abiuso (assist G. Parlanti) Carrarese
- 25' Yellow card F. Ruggeri Carrarese
- 28' Yellow card J. Rouhi Carrarese
- 51' Yellow card F. Abiuso Carrarese
- 52' Goal T. Rubino (assist F. Abiuso) Carrarese
- 76' Goal A. Belotti (assist G. Olzer) Modena
- 88' Red card Carrarese
- 90' Yellow card G. Caso Modena
- 90+1' Yellow card S. Santoro Modena
- 90+4' Yellow card G. Marconi Carrarese
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 31%Carrarese fair odds 3.23
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.21
- 38%Modena fair odds 2.64
Most likely score 1-1 (14.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.77 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.23 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 8.92 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30% | 3.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| Both teams to score: No | 51% | 1.97 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.5
Carrarese 5.1 · Modena 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Carrarese 2.0 · Modena 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Carrarese 3.9 · Modena 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (381 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.7%
- 0–0 11.2%
- 0–1 10.3%
- 1–0 8.9%
- 1–2 8.2%
- 0–2 7.4%
- 2–1 7.2%
- 2–0 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Carrarese
Bench J. Martini , G. Marconi , P. Pinelli , L. Romani , L. Topalović , M. Cissé , N. Cudrig , M. Finotto , G. Garofani , Tommaso Guercio , Y. Khafi , T. Macchioni
Modena
Bench L. Bacchin , A. Belotti , K. Bozhanaj , L. Consiglio , F. Folino , A. Imputato , A. Laidani , D. Montevago , Martino Odero , G. Olzer , Diego Ronco , W. Acquah
Form guide
Carrarese at home
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Modena away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Carrarese vs Modena head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Modena v Carrarese | 2–0 | |
| Carrarese v Modena | 0–0 | |
| Carrarese v Modena | 2–1 | |
| Modena v Carrarese | 2–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 31% | 3.23 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.47 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.68 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.31 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.95 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away clean sheet | 33% | 3.01 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.64 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.79 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.72 |