Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Hellas Verona stats & fixtures · Catanzaro stats & fixtures
Hellas Verona drew with Catanzaro 2–2 in Serie B on 16 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.97–1.24. Hellas Verona had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Hellas Verona 35%, the draw 25% and Catanzaro 40%.
Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro match statistics
- 57% Ball possession 43%
- 1.97 Expected goals (xG) 1.24
- 25 Total shots 7
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 11 Shots off target 2
- 8 Blocked shots 1
- 17 Shots inside the box 6
- 13 Corners 0
- 21 Fouls 11
- 0 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 503 Passes 399
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 11' Goal A. Candela (assist M. Imperiale) Catanzaro
- 37' Goal D. Mosquera (assist D. Livramento) Hellas Verona
- 41' Yellow card D. Livramento Hellas Verona
- 67' Goal D. Mosquera (assist A. Sarr) Hellas Verona
- 75' Penalty scored E. Pecorino Catanzaro
- 76' Yellow card G. Alesi Catanzaro
- 90+1' Yellow card M. Imperiale Catanzaro
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 35%Hellas Verona fair odds 2.89
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.00
- 40%Catanzaro fair odds 2.48
Most likely score 1-1 (11.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.44 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 19.51 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.48 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.87 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
Hellas Verona 5.5 · Catanzaro 3.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.6
Hellas Verona 2.3 · Catanzaro 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Hellas Verona 5.4 · Catanzaro 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (380 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.2%
- 1–2 8.8%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 2–2 6.4%
- 0–2 5.7%
- 0–1 5.4%
- 0–0 5.1%
- 1–3 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Hellas Verona
Bench C. Ekuban , S. Cerbone , F. Cham , A. Harroui , G. Kastanos , N. Leali , N. Lella , S. Mulattieri , K. Sezonienko , T. Slotsager , M. Frese , R. Akale
Catanzaro
Bench G. Arditi , G. Alesi , N. Buso , M. D'Alessandro , M. Dorval , R. Frosinini , N. Koffi , C. Marietta , S. Pafundi , Niccolò Postiglione , F. Tchaouna , B. Verrengia
Form guide
Hellas Verona at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Catanzaro away
1–3–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.7 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.20 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.68 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.48 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 65% | 1.53 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.69 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.89 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 60% | 1.68 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.68 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.89 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.75 |
| Home clean sheet | 19% | 5.35 |