Sampdoria vs Arezzo prediction & stats

Serie B · Italy · Regular Season - 7 · Luigi Ferraris, Genoa · Ref Andrea Colombo

Sampdoria stats & fixtures · Arezzo stats & fixtures

Sampdoria take on Arezzo in Serie B on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Sampdoria favourites at 50%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 49%.

Sampdoria vs Arezzo prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.6%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals44%2.26
Over 3.5 goals23%4.34
Over 4.5 goals10%9.83
Under 0.5 goals10%9.92
Under 1.5 goals28%3.54
Under 2.5 goals56%1.80
Under 3.5 goals77%1.30
Under 4.5 goals90%1.11
Both teams to score: Yes49%2.05
Both teams to score: No51%1.96

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.0

Sampdoria 5.0 · Arezzo 4.0

Total cornersOverUnder
7.566%34%
8.554%46%
9.542%58%
10.531%69%
11.521%79%

Expected cards: 4.4

Sampdoria 2.1 · Arezzo 2.3

Total cardsOverUnder
2.580%20%
3.563%37%
4.544%56%
5.528%72%
6.516%84%

Expected shots on target: 7.6

Sampdoria 5.0 · Arezzo 2.6

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.575%25%
6.562%38%
7.548%52%
8.535%65%
9.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (386 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.6%
  2. 1–0 11.9%
  3. 0–0 10.1%
  4. 2–0 10.0%
  5. 2–1 9.6%
  6. 0–1 6.3%
  7. 1–2 5.5%
  8. 3–0 5.0%

Team news & lineups

Sampdoria

Probable — not confirmed

Arezzo

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Sampdoria at home

5–2–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
0.9 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
5.9 per game
Shots on target
4.6 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Arezzo away

3–1–2 in 6 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.8 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 6
Corners
2.0 per game
Shots on target
2.0 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +0.5 handicap 50% 2.00
Away +1.5 handicap 74% 1.35
Home +0.5 handicap 79% 1.27
Home/Draw double chance 79% 1.27
Draw/Away double chance 50% 2.00
Home/Away double chance 71% 1.40
Home Over 0.5 team goals 78% 1.28
Home -0.5 handicap 50% 2.00
Home clean sheet 40% 2.53
Home +1.5 handicap 92% 1.09
Away clean sheet 22% 4.62
Away Over 0.5 team goals 60% 1.65
Away -0.5 handicap 21% 4.70
Home Over 1.5 team goals 45% 2.22
Home -1.5 handicap 26% 3.84
Away Over 1.5 team goals 24% 4.21
Home Over 2.5 team goals 19% 5.14
Away Over 2.5 team goals 7% 14.65
Away -1.5 handicap 8% 12.56