Sudtirol vs Ascoli match stats & report
0–0 Full time
Sudtirol drew with Ascoli 0–0 in Serie B on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.17–0.70. Ascoli had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Sudtirol 34%, the draw 32% and Ascoli 34%.
Sudtirol vs Ascoli match statistics
- 42% Ball possession 58%
- 1.17 Expected goals (xG) 0.70
- 16 Total shots 9
- 4 Shots on target 2
- 7 Shots off target 3
- 5 Blocked shots 4
- 5 Shots inside the box 6
- 5 Corners 5
- 15 Fouls 8
- 0 Offsides 3
- 4 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 386 Passes 542
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 37' Yellow card S. Molina Sudtirol
- 48' Yellow card G. Stabile Sudtirol
- 60' Yellow card Vasco Lopes Sudtirol
- 67' Yellow card R. Burnete Sudtirol
- 75' Yellow card N. Rizzo Ascoli
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 34%Sudtirol fair odds 2.98
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.08
- 34%Ascoli fair odds 2.94
Most likely score 1-1 (15.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.51 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 13.70 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 13% | 7.85 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| Both teams to score: No | 54% | 1.86 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.0
Sudtirol 4.4 · Ascoli 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.4
Sudtirol 2.4 · Ascoli 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 7.6
Sudtirol 3.6 · Ascoli 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 9.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (371 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 15.1%
- 0–0 12.7%
- 0–1 10.5%
- 1–0 10.4%
- 1–2 7.4%
- 2–1 7.4%
- 0–2 6.8%
- 2–0 6.7%
Team news & lineups
Sudtirol
Bench L. Anghelè , K. Mixtur , M. Pellini , Lukas Ploner, Elias Schroot , F. Tait , Rok Vadjunec , D. Veroli , Jannik Leitner, R. Burnete , D. Brik
Ascoli
Bench D. Bolsius , A. Chakir , G. Crespi , G. De Pieri , F. Gattoni , G. Gori , L. Lo Scalzo , M. Nicoletti , S. Perciun , M. Ricci , L. Venuti , G. Acampora
Form guide
Sudtirol at home
3–5–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.9 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Ascoli away
1–1–2 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 4
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Sudtirol vs Ascoli head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli v Sudtirol | 1–2 | |
| Sudtirol v Ascoli | 3–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 33% | 3.00 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.03 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.50 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.94 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.50 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 14% | 6.94 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.98 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.29 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.08 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.33 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.90 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.08 |