Modena vs Hellas Verona match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Modena stats & fixtures · Hellas Verona stats & fixtures
Modena beat Hellas Verona 3–2 in Serie B on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.40–2.09. Modena had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Modena 59%, the draw 24% and Hellas Verona 16%.
Modena vs Hellas Verona match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 2.40 Expected goals (xG) 2.09
- 23 Total shots 14
- 6 Shots on target 7
- 14 Shots off target 4
- 3 Blocked shots 3
- 11 Shots inside the box 10
- 3 Corners 4
- 5 Fouls 11
- 3 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 511 Passes 312
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 13' Goal G. Caso (assist G. Brugman) Modena
- 16' Yellow card A. Bianco Modena
- 24' Goal D. Mosquera Hellas Verona
- 28' Goal D. Mosquera Hellas Verona
- 45+2' Yellow card A. Le Borgne Hellas Verona
- 54' Yellow card A. Edmundsson Hellas Verona
- 77' Red card A. Edmundsson Hellas Verona
- 85' Goal D. Montevago (assist G. Caso) Modena
- 90+5' Goal A. Belotti Modena
- 90+7' Yellow card A. Belotti Modena
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 59%Modena fair odds 1.69
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.09
- 16%Hellas Verona fair odds 6.15
Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.35 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.84 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.45 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.08 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.1
Modena 4.8 · Hellas Verona 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Modena 2.0 · Hellas Verona 2.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 8.3
Modena 4.6 · Hellas Verona 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (377 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.7%
- 2–0 11.0%
- 1–0 10.8%
- 2–1 10.4%
- 0–0 7.4%
- 3–0 6.6%
- 3–1 6.2%
- 1–2 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Modena
Bench F. Zampano , P. Arnaboldi , L. Bacchin , A. Belotti , L. Consiglio , F. Folino , A. Imputato , A. Laidani , D. Montevago , Martino Odero , Diego Ronco , W. Acquah
Hellas Verona
Bench S. Cerbone , A. Harroui , G. Kastanos , N. Leali , N. Calabrese , K. Sezonienko , T. Slotsager , D. Bradarić , A. Bernede , R. Akale , C. Ekuban , S. Mulattieri
Form guide
Modena at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Hellas Verona away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.88 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.54 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.48 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.35 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 41% | 2.46 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.15 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 15.47 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.56 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.85 |