Padova vs Carrarese match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Padova lost to Carrarese 0–2 in Serie B on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.89–1.40. Padova had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Padova 39%, the draw 30% and Carrarese 30%.
Padova vs Carrarese match statistics
- 56% Ball possession 44%
- 0.89 Expected goals (xG) 1.40
- 11 Total shots 10
- 1 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 1
- 7 Shots inside the box 7
- 5 Corners 1
- 7 Fouls 14
- 2 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 558 Passes 435
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 14' Goal T. Rubino (assist G. Parlanti) Carrarese
- 40' Yellow card F. Oliana Carrarese
- 51' Goal J. Rouhi (assist N. Belloni) Carrarese
- 51' Yellow card G. Caprari Padova
- 62' Yellow card M. Braunöder Carrarese
- 80' Yellow card N. Belloni Carrarese
- 82' Yellow card G. Parlanti Carrarese
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 39%Padova fair odds 2.54
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.28
- 30%Carrarese fair odds 3.31
Most likely score 1-1 (14.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.46 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10% | 10.23 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 9.51 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29% | 3.46 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Padova 4.3 · Carrarese 5.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.4
Padova 2.3 · Carrarese 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Padova 4.2 · Carrarese 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (377 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.5%
- 0–0 10.5%
- 1–0 10.1%
- 2–1 8.5%
- 0–1 8.3%
- 2–0 7.6%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 0–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Padova
Bench K. Varas , E. Silletti , N. Galazzi , F. Di Mariano , G. Artistico , G. Giunti , K. Lasagna , D. Marcolini , L. Mouquet , C. Pastina , M. Pompetti , A. Seghetti
Carrarese
Bench N. Ravaglia , P. Pinelli , J. Martini , G. Marconi , Tommaso Guercio , G. Garofani , M. Finotto , N. Cudrig , M. Cissé , L. Romani , L. Topalović , David Vujevic
Form guide
Padova at home
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
62% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Carrarese away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Padova vs Carrarese head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Padova v Carrarese | 1–0 | |
| Carrarese v Padova | 0–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.31 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.83 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.65 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.67 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 61% | 1.65 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.23 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.26 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.69 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.44 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.05 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.54 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.68 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.43 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.01 |