San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys prediction & stats

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14 · Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires

San Lorenzo stats & fixtures · Newells Old Boys stats & fixtures

San Lorenzo take on Newells Old Boys in Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 14) on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes the draw the likeliest result, at 39%. The likeliest score is 0–0, at 21.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 23% and both teams scoring at 33%.

San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys prediction

Most likely score 0-0 (21.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals79%1.27
Over 1.5 goals51%1.97
Over 2.5 goals23%4.38
Over 3.5 goals9%11.63
Over 4.5 goals3%37.81
Under 0.5 goals21%4.71
Under 1.5 goals49%2.03
Under 2.5 goals77%1.30
Under 3.5 goals91%1.09
Under 4.5 goals97%1.03
Both teams to score: Yes33%3.02
Both teams to score: No67%1.50

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.1

San Lorenzo 5.3 · Newells Old Boys 3.8

Total cornersOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.554%46%
9.542%58%
10.531%69%
11.522%78%

Expected cards: 5.2

San Lorenzo 2.4 · Newells Old Boys 2.7

Total cardsOverUnder
3.575%25%
4.558%42%
5.541%59%
6.527%73%
7.516%84%

Expected shots on target: 8.2

San Lorenzo 4.7 · Newells Old Boys 3.4

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.569%31%
7.556%44%
8.543%57%
9.531%69%
10.521%79%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (506 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 0–0 21.2%
  2. 1–0 15.7%
  3. 1–1 14.9%
  4. 0–1 12.3%
  5. 2–0 7.9%
  6. 2–1 5.9%
  7. 0–2 5.2%
  8. 1–2 4.7%

Team news & lineups

San Lorenzo

Probable — not confirmed

Newells Old Boys

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

San Lorenzo at home

4–2–4 in 10 matches

Scored
0.6 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
4.3 per game
Shots on target
4.9 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Newells Old Boys away

3–3–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
2.9 per game
Shots on target
2.9 per game

40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Newells Old Boys v San Lorenzo 0–0
San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys 1–1
Newells Old Boys v San Lorenzo 1–0

Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 92% 1.09
Away +1.5 handicap 87% 1.15
Home +0.5 handicap 74% 1.35
Home/Draw double chance 74% 1.35
Draw/Away double chance 64% 1.55
Away +0.5 handicap 64% 1.55
Home/Away double chance 61% 1.63
Home Over 0.5 team goals 60% 1.67
Away Over 0.5 team goals 52% 1.92
Home clean sheet 48% 2.09
Away clean sheet 40% 2.48
Home -0.5 handicap 36% 2.81
Away -0.5 handicap 26% 3.87
Home Over 1.5 team goals 23% 4.35
Away Over 1.5 team goals 17% 5.92
Home -1.5 handicap 13% 7.52
Away -1.5 handicap 8% 11.98
Home Over 2.5 team goals 6% 15.71
Away Over 2.5 team goals 4% 25.49