Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin prediction & stats

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14 · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata

Gimnasia L.P. stats & fixtures · Sarmiento Junin stats & fixtures

Gimnasia L.P. take on Sarmiento Junin in Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 14) on 23 October 2026. The Ghost makes Gimnasia L.P. favourites at 52%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 49%.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.24
Over 3.5 goals23%4.28
Over 4.5 goals10%9.65
Under 0.5 goals10%10.10
Under 1.5 goals28%3.57
Under 2.5 goals55%1.81
Under 3.5 goals77%1.30
Under 4.5 goals90%1.12
Both teams to score: Yes49%2.06
Both teams to score: No51%1.94

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.8

Gimnasia L.P. 5.9 · Sarmiento Junin 3.9

Total cornersOverUnder
7.574%26%
8.563%37%
9.551%49%
10.540%60%
11.529%71%

Expected cards: 5.3

Gimnasia L.P. 2.1 · Sarmiento Junin 3.1

Total cardsOverUnder
3.576%24%
4.559%41%
5.543%57%
6.528%72%
7.517%83%

Expected shots on target: 9.3

Gimnasia L.P. 6.0 · Sarmiento Junin 3.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.570%30%
8.558%42%
9.545%55%
10.534%66%
11.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (506 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.3%
  2. 1–0 12.1%
  3. 2–0 10.5%
  4. 0–0 9.9%
  5. 2–1 9.7%
  6. 0–1 5.9%
  7. 3–0 5.3%
  8. 1–2 5.2%

Team news & lineups

Gimnasia L.P.

Probable — not confirmed

Sarmiento Junin

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Gimnasia L.P. at home

5–2–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
4.7 per game
Shots on target
4.7 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Sarmiento Junin away

4–0–6 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
2.1 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
2.4 per game
Shots on target
3.2 per game

43% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Sarmiento Junin v Gimnasia L.P. 1–2
Sarmiento Junin v Gimnasia L.P. 0–1
Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin 0–0
Sarmiento Junin v Gimnasia L.P. 1–1
Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin 0–0

Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 93% 1.08
Home/Draw double chance 80% 1.25
Home +0.5 handicap 80% 1.25
Home Over 0.5 team goals 79% 1.26
Away +1.5 handicap 72% 1.38
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.39
Away Over 0.5 team goals 59% 1.69
Home -0.5 handicap 52% 1.92
Draw/Away double chance 48% 2.09
Away +0.5 handicap 48% 2.09
Home Over 1.5 team goals 47% 2.15
Home clean sheet 41% 2.45
Home -1.5 handicap 28% 3.62
Away Over 1.5 team goals 23% 4.42
Away clean sheet 21% 4.85
Home Over 2.5 team goals 21% 4.86
Away -0.5 handicap 20% 5.06
Away -1.5 handicap 7% 13.82
Away Over 2.5 team goals 6% 15.86