Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia match stats & report
5–0 Full time
Rosario Central stats & fixtures · Independ. Rivadavia stats & fixtures
Rosario Central beat Independ. Rivadavia 5–0 in Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 12) on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 3.40–0.41. Rosario Central had 61% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Rosario Central 43%, the draw 31% and Independ. Rivadavia 26%.
Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia match statistics
- 61% Ball possession 39%
- 3.40 Expected goals (xG) 0.41
- 21 Total shots 6
- 9 Shots on target 3
- 8 Shots off target 2
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 15 Shots inside the box 3
- 9 Corners 5
- 9 Fouls 15
- 1 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 1
- 489 Passes 314
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 11' Penalty scored Á. Di María Rosario Central
- 12' Yellow card G. Ríos Independ. Rivadavia
- 25' Yellow card Á. Di María Rosario Central
- 40' Red card A. Arce Independ. Rivadavia
- 45+2' Yellow card L. Costa Independ. Rivadavia
- 51' Goal J. Campaz (assist V. Pizarro) Rosario Central
- 57' Goal Á. Di María (assist V. Pizarro) Rosario Central
- 63' Yellow card J. Florentín Independ. Rivadavia
- 69' Goal E. Copetti (assist A. Sandez) Rosario Central
- 74' Goal M. Ruben (assist Ignacio Ovando) Rosario Central
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 43%Rosario Central fair odds 2.32
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.20
- 26%Independ. Rivadavia fair odds 3.89
Most likely score 1-1 (14.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.15 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.47 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.37 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| Both teams to score: No | 53% | 1.88 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.2
Rosario Central 5.6 · Independ. Rivadavia 3.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 10.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 4.7
Rosario Central 2.1 · Independ. Rivadavia 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Rosario Central 5.1 · Independ. Rivadavia 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (503 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.6%
- 1–0 12.0%
- 0–0 11.9%
- 2–0 8.8%
- 2–1 8.7%
- 0–1 8.2%
- 1–2 6.2%
- 0–2 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Rosario Central
Bench S. Zaracho , A. Soto , M. Ruben , F. Mallo , J. Komar , Juan Valentín Giménez , J. Fernández , F. Cervi , T. Badaloni , G. Cantizano , Damian Leandro Fernandez, E. Veron
Independ. Rivadavia
Bench V. Ramis , A. Osella , M. Reali , F. Sartori , A. Vigo , I. Villalba , R. Atencio , L. Bucca , D. Crego , L. Díaz , Emmanuel Gómez , S. Moreyra
Form guide
Rosario Central at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 7.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Independ. Rivadavia away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.7 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Independ. Rivadavia v Rosario Central | 2–0 | |
| Independ. Rivadavia v Rosario Central | 1–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Rosario Central vs Independ. Rivadavia head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 57% | 1.76 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.89 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.71 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 3.99 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.26 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.48 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.10 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.32 |
| Home clean sheet | 38% | 2.62 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 20% | 4.91 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 6.97 |